usaar333

4 ngày trướcdiscuss

> and eventually AI model will be commodified

This axiom not being true (and I'd bet against it) means your overall conclusion is false.

usaar333

2 tháng trướcdiscuss

Tech workers get paid in equity and many in the semiconductor industry are making far far more than this a year with all the equity appreciation.

usaar333

2 tháng trướcdiscuss

How does delaying the release not solve anything? It puts everyone on a notice to fix all security vulnerabilities now

usaar333

3 tháng trướcdiscuss

I hate waiting on hold for 30 minutes even more.

usaar333

3 tháng trướcdiscuss

There's literally a link on the blog post to an article noting they hit $150M ARR.

usaar333

3 tháng trướcdiscuss

Voice agents have capabilities and policy to alter customer state. Just the other day I called into a CC company and the AI waived an interest charge.

usaar333

3 tháng trướcdiscuss

page is updated to state:

MCP-Atlas: The Opus 4.6 score has been updated to reflect revised grading methodology from Scale AI.

usaar333

4 tháng trướcdiscuss

> But even setting aside the leaked answers, the scorer’s normalize_str function strips ALL whitespace, ALL punctuation, and lowercases everything before comparison. This means:

I don't understand the concern here

usaar333

6 tháng trướcdiscuss

True, but it gets you higher accuracy. Gemini had the best aa-omniscience score

https://artificialanalysis.ai/evaluations/omniscience

usaar333

6 tháng trướcdiscuss

Openai has; they don't even mention score on gpt-5.3-codex.

On the other hand, it is their own verified benchmark, which is telling.

usaar333

6 tháng trướcdiscuss

i'd interpret that as rounding error. that is unchanged

swe-bench seems really hard once you are above 80%

usaar333

8 tháng trướcdiscuss

In Quebec it was a 20% jump in mother employment: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-12-31/affordabl...

And had all sorts of negative outcomes for the kids: https://www.edweek.org/teaching-learning/long-term-study-of-...

usaar333

8 tháng trướcdiscuss

claude 4.5 gets 82% on their own highly customized scaffolding. (parallel compute with a scoring function). That beats Doubao

usaar333

10 tháng trướcdiscuss

That wasn't a ceasefire violation. It was a six week ceasefire that had expired at the beginning of March

usaar333

10 tháng trướcdiscuss

Physics seems better than veo 3 at least from demo videos

usaar333

10 tháng trướcdiscuss

Except it is sublinear. Sonnet 4 was 10.2% above sonnet 3.7 after 3 months.

usaar333

12 tháng trướcdiscuss

No it doesn't. If it were even linear compared to o1 -> o3, we'd be at 2.43 hours. Instead we're only at 2.29.

Exponential would be at 3.6 hours

usaar333

12 tháng trướcdiscuss

No, this is below expectations on both Manifold and lesswrong (https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/FG54euEAesRkSZuJN/ryan_green...). Median was ~2.75 hours on both (which already represented a bearish slowdown).

Not massively off -- manifold yesterday implied odds this low were ~35%. 30% before Claude Opus 4.1 came out which updated expected agentic coding abilities downward.

usaar333

12 tháng trướcdiscuss

At this point the prediction for SWE bench (85% by end of this month) is not materializing. We're actually quite far away.

usaar333

12 tháng trướcdiscuss

No obvious gains I feel from quick chats, but too early to tell.

These benchmark gains aren't that high, so I doubt it is that obvious.

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