I'd argue it's different because ephemeral, vps, baremetal, self-hosted, the skillset is still "managing a linux server" and the most radical shift is to an expectation that a server is a thing that is created and destroyed on demand (so now you need to script deployment), which isn't really a radical shift away from the skillset.
The goal of AI seems to pretty explicitly be "stop coding; from now on the mechanic fixes your car", which I would argue is a very different shift.
Also if you host a criminal content on AWS they probably close your account and ban you instead of silently rerouting all traffic away from your server (which may just be hosting a game where you kill goblins or steal cars or something) and refusing to acknowledge that that's what's happening.
There's already an obvious stench to "you should scale down your engineering team to a skeleton crew whose core competency is using our product, so that it's the only way to modify your product"; that's going to result in a lot of foodless tables when anthropic et al decide they have enough leverage to stop subsidizing their subscription prices down to what, 4-10% of the marginal cost? Well it doesn't matter how much they want to jack the prices up, if your engineering team requires tokens to do anything you'll just shut up and pay whatever it is.
There's another big problem with the blackbox shrugoff of "no, there's no way to know how many tokens a given request will cost, idk just assign an agent to that or something lol"
But now the software may just decide for itself that your application of it needs to be silently diverted onto a snipe hunting trail. Surely they'll only ever do this for anyone developing a competing product. Or malware. Or Criminal activity. Or one of ten other applications that the system will never misjudge.
You don't need a datacenter the size of Ohio to figure out that agentic ai maximalism is going to hurt you more than help you.
What's the market for linux users who want an electron app so they can vibecode in a visual studio fork but wont just build it themselves nor do they want to clone and build someone else's repo
I vaguely remember funneling a shitload of salt and lime juice into a bottle of whiskey to encourage a visceral repulsive reaction and help break the habit.
I vaguely remember drinking some whiskey that definitely had something wrong with it that I couldn't quite put my finger on.
If you really have a problem, novel solutions like throttling aren't gonna cut it.
Right now LLMs have a slight advantage over stackoverflow etc in that they'll react to your specific question/circumstances, but they also require you to doublecheck everything they spit out. I don't think that will ever change, and I think most of the hype comes from people whose salaries depend on it being right around the corner or people who are playing a speculation game (if I learn this tool I'll never have to work again/ avoid this tool will doom me to poverty forever).
"I can surround your child with dangerous unhealthy things and do my best to corrupt and poison them, there should be no limit to this behavior whatsoever because if I succeed it's your fault for being bad parents! All you have to do is say no, it's not like it's my full time job to make end-runs around you with the aid of behavioral science and psychology and a budget, no no no guiding your children morally is as simple as saying no once, are you too stupid and lazy to do that?".
We've had markov chain generators for a while, having enough computing power to grant them the power to regurgitate wikipedia reddit and stackoverflow content is not "a huge step towards agi"
>The long term issue that many people don't seem willing to mention out loud is that we will eventually make humanity obsolete and robots will literally take control.
what are you talking about; the main marketing strategy for so terribly many ai companies is to run around declaring the end is soon because their product is so powerful
>The only real solution to the threat of militarization of AI and robotics might be to create a more unified global government and culture.
At this point I think you're joking. Tightly centralizing power always results in oligarchy, kleptocracy, and collapse. And why do you think this central world government wouldn't militarize via your unstoppable robots?
I think online matchmaking has absolutely destroyed people's ability to feel like they're good at any game.
Like you'll never be a big fish in a small pond. If you played as much as you currently do but could only play with people local to you, you'd be the best person you know at this thing. And that's a really good feeling. But you'll never get that feeling, because you should really be grinding past whatever plat 3 is in order to not suck.
I remember being in school and thinking that "what if my (color) is your (other color)" was a cool question, and then later I think I reasoned out that color is measurable so the actual color is objective, and the differences between different people is just like... rods and cones that are somehow different between people aka partial colorblindness.
That makes sense; it's a predatory business model. It's like auto title loans. They want you corner you, offer you money when you're at your most helpless, then take your car away. If not that then they want to lock you in a debt spiral you'll never get out of and just be a leach on your paycheck forever.
Everyone I've ever talked to has an antagonistic view of these companies and most other american institutions, and the more you hate them and recognize they hate you, the better off you are financially.
When I was young, my brother knew a guy who was really into movies. If you wanted to know about a movie you couldn't remember, you would go talk to that guy.
For a while, the internet had an end-run play that made that guy less useful. You can just go on the internet for obscure movie information, buddy.
But now it seems like knowing a movie guy is going to be the only way to get a real person's opinion on movies. The internet is about to forget everything without a profit motive and just start telling you that the latest product from a monolith corp like disney is the only movie worth watching. If someone scrapes all the useful movie opinions off of reddit and spends their time crafting it into a usable format, that guy's probably got a company. But not Bill. Bill's just a guy you can know or not know. You can't monetize knowing Bill. Sidenote that's probably why it irked me so bad when some bozo coined the phrase "social capital".
it's not just a message board, it's an influence machine.
They need to make sure the stuff they want people to think is posted often and has a big number next to it, they need to make sure things that people like are associated with the stuff they want people to like/think/do and things that people don't like are never associated with the stuff they want people to like/think/do. They need to make sure that people who say the wrong things are silenced or persuaded to leave, etc etc. Man they probably have at least one contact in at least one intelligence agency and they have to make sure not to run afoul of that contact.
Like the news isn't just a list of what happened recently, political debates aren't just two guys talking, and reddit/twitter aren't just message boards.