> Question: A fair die rolling a 6 twice in a row is more likely than rolling 1-2-3-4-5-6 in sequence
Two 6s in a row is 1/36 chance (1/6)^2
1-2-3-4-5-6 is a 1/46656 chance (1/6)^6
Website is claiming they are the same probability:
> Same probability: 1/46,656 — Both outcomes have exactly the same probability: (1/6)^6 = 1/46,656. This illustrates the representativeness heuristic — random-looking sequences feel more probable than ordered ones.
Website's "answer" is wrong: was the question supposed to be rolling a 6 six times in a row?
I mean these analogies could be applied to AI image gen too. Open up an image gen tool and press generate. Do you get a great image? No, because you didn’t even enter a prompt.
I love and share this view—whenever a website uses dark patterns like this to try and get me to do something I just close the website and thank them for helping me reduce my screen time!
> The biggest beneficiary of Webvan’s failure was Amazon.com. Not only did the company learn from the mistakes made by Webvan, but it also hired former Webvan executives to launch its own grocery delivery service: Amazon Fresh. Further, in 2012, Amazon bought KIVA Systems, a company that developed the robotic technology initially used in Webvan distribution facilities, for $775 million. Amazon even owns the domain webvan.com.
Never heard of this company before but found this very interesting. Good read.
On top of that, my car can remember the MPGs I got for the last tank (and every tank before that) and estimates my range off of that. Apparently that’s “magic” according to the comment you replied to. Tesla apologists always have some excuse.
“The organization also found that Tesla, which is often lauded for its sophisticated technology, was not a paragon of reliability, ranking dead-last among brands”
Two 6s in a row is 1/36 chance (1/6)^2
1-2-3-4-5-6 is a 1/46656 chance (1/6)^6
Website is claiming they are the same probability:
> Same probability: 1/46,656 — Both outcomes have exactly the same probability: (1/6)^6 = 1/46,656. This illustrates the representativeness heuristic — random-looking sequences feel more probable than ordered ones.
Website's "answer" is wrong: was the question supposed to be rolling a 6 six times in a row?