Gartner are so great at their job you think they own the concept of hype cycles and rage against them being mentioned while being the one to introduce them to the conversation in the first place :)
That's interesting. Quite the needle to thread. I wonder how big the market will be for niche models that aren't commodities.
It needs to be something lucrative enough that training the model is not-trivial but not so lucrative Microsoft/Google would care enough to go after. And it somehow needs to stay in that sweet spot even as Nvidia chips away at that moat with each new hardware generation.
It is great that everyone you know uses it but the traffic to ChatGPT is decreasing and has been for over two months now. If pointing this fact out makes me demented consider that perhaps you are emotionally invested in this new toy/brand.
I guess we can wait and see what kind of usage trends will emerge long term. My anecdotal evidence (which is not worth much, same as yours) is that many normies tried it a few times and it was a topic of conversation but is no longer mentioned much.
About as killer as that twitter clone that was in the news for a minute after forcing people to use it and immediately losing 90% of the captive audience..
They have been losing users. Summer is here, school is out, the kids are back in reality for the moment and apparently when they aren't busy plagiarizing homework the interest is very limited.
ChatGPT was announced November, 2022 - 8 months ago. Time flies.
Question for HN: Where are we in the hype cycle on this?
We can run shitty clones slowly on Raspberry Pi's and your phone. The educational implementations demonstrate the basics in under a thousand lines of brisk C. Great. At some point you have to wonder... well, so what?
Not one killer app has emerged. I for one am eager to be all hip and open minded and pretend like I use LLMs all the time for everything and they are "the future" but novelty aside it seems like so far we have a demented clippy and some sophomoric arguments about alignment and wrong think.
It did generate a whole lot of breathless click-bait-y articles and gave people something to blab about. Ironically it also accelerated the value of that sort of gab and clicks towards zero.
As I am not a VC, politician, or opportunist, hand waving and telling me this is Frankenstein's monster about to come alive and therefore I need billions of dollars or "regulations" just makes folks sound like the crypto scammers.
Please HN, say something actually insightful, I beg you.