Recessions aside, it may be that because they were forced to choose a bad job, and stuck there too long because of insecurity... Their trajectory was changed.
Which may just mean that they need to stay focused on self-improvement and job hopping as possible.
You'd almost definitely get more consistency. And improving the system would be easier.
Whereas the biases of human judges can be hard to detect, and even if you could correct one judge, that fix doesn't propagate to other judges with the same flaw.
The idea isn't to make them harder to understand, but rather to make them more consistent, nuanced, and aware of the real world in ways that politicians might not be.
The implication isn't so much that AI will write laws, as it is that it can raise standards, make things clearer and more detailed.
And... Enable better understanding of context, since unlike human politicians, most LLMs have very board knowledge.
So it should reduce some of the automatic bad decision making that comes from bureaucrats making laws about things they don't (and maybe can't) understand.
If you ignore the complexity added by divided governments, the idea of using LLMs to help draft laws, because they can understand many more domains than the average human, is kinda interesting.
If you don't have extra evidence, and the you don't trust the CIA, then what base do you have for your assumption?
Wanting human like causes for problems is how humanity invented gods. So that they could feel more under control by trying to appease the now humanized force.
Of course, if the problem went away after you prayed, that would really just have been luck. Even though it strengthened your belief.
But they also say that there's no new evidence of any kind.
They are just choosing to believe the lab leak hypothesis now, because they spent more time thinking about the conditions of the labs before Covid started.
...
And it's still low confidence... Since there's no evidence.
Sad stuff, really. Any self respecting person would just not express their opinion in such a situation.
Just about the only value of this new report is that it tells Trump what he wants to hear.
The wet markets were a super spreader event... Doesn't really tell you much about where it started (even if it has animal origin).
People just assumed that the wet markets were the cause of the problem, because they found them digusting (and wanted an excuse to blame it on the Chinese being evil).
In a less dense population, without many people going to the same hospital... You would just not have noticed Covid much.
They say that there is no new data. That they are just altering their choice for what assumption is more likely.
Supposedly because they've had more time to think about the conditions of the lab before Covid was released...
But really, nothing has changed except their biases. Nothing has changed on the solid evidence side.
Separately, if there were actual safety issues and stuff was leaking... Then we're incredibly lucky that it was something as tame as Covid, and not one of the more serious kinds of horrors that gain of function research has successfully produced.
Smallpox, yes. But another SARS variant (even a somewhat more aggressive one)...
Obviously, it's not impossible.
But, there were even RNA samples from Covid found in other countries, months before Covid really spread in China.
I imagine the main problem with the superspreader event there was more that enough people ended up in the same hospital, and thus it was easier to identify that Covid was a distinct virus.
If it was crawling around in a less dense population, its spread would've been meh, and the hospitals might not even notice the spike much.
If SARS-Cov-2 was from a lab, what about the original SARS?
Generally though, China is somewhat better suited to producing pandemics, because they have a larger and more dense population within which a disease can spread.
If it could be blamed on "China", it could as well be blamed on "the US" for having also funded that lab, and likely having been responsible for what security measures it would have.
And more realistically, if it was a lab leak, it was likely some lab technician being careless, or some thing breaking and whoever was responsible, not fixing it quickly enough.