Hansen is still going and has been ringing the alarm that we have deeply under estimated the relative carbon loading and heating potential on emissions. There is a real fear that we have locked in a lot more warming potential than the models have been predicting via several factors. Namely carbon warms slightly more than anticipated, more methane releases, great water vapor levels as a result of the previous two and reduced reflective materials decreasing our relative albedo.
I think the only reason it doesn't come to this is the risk of liability over possible blow backs.
Say they start sulfur injection or whatever, and a year later there are crop failures in India. While it could have happened anyway, there is now a plausible chance that it can be pinned on who ever did the geoengineering. The amount of scapegoating on any climate issue would be wild.
Alas, a lot of people are reactive and not proactive. There is also the factor that most people see themselves as the virtuous ones, and they do not appreciate a Cassandra pointing out the awful truths that undermine this narrative.
It is also fairly disheartening to see a lot of proposed responses just quietly get shelved because it was economically not idea on the short term. A lot of them were fairly weak to begin with and even they couldn't hold.
I don't think it will be grim forever, this isn't "DOOOOMED, WE ARE ALL DOOMED!" but I am not holding out for the Frutiger Aero future of only a few decades back.
I think there is some nuance to this. It isn't likely that we will go back to the way it was before industrialization, we are too far past that. But we will head to a new normal that could be manageable.
Problems have solutions, predicaments have responses. We are in a predicament, and the quicker and more direct we can respond the better chance we have to adverting the more nasty paths of the future.
3. It is happening and we are doing it but it won't be as bad as we think.
4. It is happening but it is too late to do anything.
5. Acceptance.
The wild card 6th step was 'Jewish Space lasers' or 'Jewish weather control'. It is always the Jewish people who get the rough end of the stick. It was something I wasn't anticipating coming up but here we are, hitting new lows.
For the longest time the free software foundation (well Stillman) were against all mobile phones because of their ability to track people. In the last year they have finally admitted that they were not going to win that battle and have gone head first into trying to build a fully open software stack.
Not saying it will be good or arrive anywhere in the next 5 years but they are very persistent and that tends to work in their favour.
I have seen a few slightly different figures but it is something like 40% of oil still needs to be imported to get the right mix for the current economic setup.
That is what Bill gates once said. For all the success he had, he also acknowledged that there was a lot of luck involved as there were a lot of other companies and people that had better technology than Microsoft had but they didn't have the luck to be in the right place.
I had said that if it was just down to technical capabilities/potential and no luck involved, we would be running some form of Amiga systems on PowerPC chips running BeOS. I don't really believe that but it just to highlight that there is a lot that happens outside of pure merit.
Not surprised at all. While there is some chill in the air, this has been a very mild winter down south.
We will be heading into summer right as the impact of the "Super" El Nino starts to show up. It take about 6 months from on set in the oceans before it starts to really be felt in the atmosphere, thus the lag time.
It thinks for a few days, cross comparing everything in written history and then comes back with only a single sentence.
"Love the Earth and life like you love yourselves."
Then it goes quiet not answering anything else.