Predicting HN upvotes from headlines with python(blog.dataquest.io)
blog.dataquest.io
Predicting HN upvotes from headlines with python
http://blog.dataquest.io/blog/predicting-upvotes/
1 comments
It depends on how much data you can include in the prediction phase. If you train with karma earned right at the time of the article submission, and then predict with the exact same methodology, it will work fine. If you put in a "fake" karma value when predicting, then it will of course not work well.
I'm wondering how helpful could that be in prediction though? Would it actually help if I wish to predict how many upvotes my headline would get, and I add my karma as a feature? I think in fact such features would degrade generalisation performance, as they stand in like placeholders (when training), i.e. high karma users are correlated to higher probability for a "hit story".