Immigration reform in America(economist.com)
economist.com
Immigration reform in America
http://www.economist.com/blogs/democracyinamerica/2013/04/immigration-reform-0?fsrc=scn/fb/wl/bl/forwardmarch
10 comments
> It is a means of lowering wage rates among engineers and software developers
You might think Mark Zuckerberg is in this to bring in international developers and pay them peanuts, but the reality is that most people Google, Facebook, and the like are bringing in on H-1B visas are extremely well compensated, on a par with their US counterparts. Once you account for relocations packages and visa/legal fees (which alone can top $10k) it's often more expensive.
Yes, some companies take advantage of international workers. I don't dispute that. But many people who want to enter the US are losing out - they have great job offers, and end up being slaves to an arbitrary lottery with a fairly meaningless cap in the grand scale of total US immigration.
You might think Mark Zuckerberg is in this to bring in international developers and pay them peanuts, but the reality is that most people Google, Facebook, and the like are bringing in on H-1B visas are extremely well compensated, on a par with their US counterparts. Once you account for relocations packages and visa/legal fees (which alone can top $10k) it's often more expensive.
Yes, some companies take advantage of international workers. I don't dispute that. But many people who want to enter the US are losing out - they have great job offers, and end up being slaves to an arbitrary lottery with a fairly meaningless cap in the grand scale of total US immigration.
Econ 101: importing labor reduces "scarcity" driving down prices, regardless of paying going rate. It simply keeps rates from going up which would bring more Americans into the "silicon valley" tech labor pool.
See Tim Harford's "Undercover Economist" for TL;DR style of understanding economics: http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/B007NIDW1Q/
If Zuckerberg's is trying to satisfy a labor shortage then he should go to where the labor wants to live, as Google has done which is to establish a major technical presence in Manhattan, where the kind of people he wishes to hire want to live.
See Tim Harford's "Undercover Economist" for TL;DR style of understanding economics: http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/B007NIDW1Q/
If Zuckerberg's is trying to satisfy a labor shortage then he should go to where the labor wants to live, as Google has done which is to establish a major technical presence in Manhattan, where the kind of people he wishes to hire want to live.
If Zuckerberg's is trying to satisfy a labor shortage then he should go to where the labor wants to live, as Google has done which is to establish a major technical presence in Manhattan...
https://www.facebook.com/careers/locations/newyork
https://www.facebook.com/careers/locations/newyork
Google, by owning the second largest office building in Manhattan has a major technical presence. I'm not aware of any tech (Apple, Amazon, Oracle, Microsoft, Facebook, Intel) firm that comes close to having close to this kind of engineering/software presence in Manhattan.
Facebook has a substantial (and expanding) presence in NYC. As does Amazon and various other "tier 1" tech companies. Tech presence in NYC is exploding in no small part due to Californian (and abroad) companies trying to tap into the local talent pool.
While you're condescendingly lecturing others on basic economics, I'd suggest you brush up on what's going on in the tech scene in your own back yard.
Your understanding of economics is also overly simplistic and fails to account for the utility of the good or service being sold. Reduction in supply only raises prices if the utility of what's being traded is infinite and there are no substitutes.
While there are notable outliers in the tech industry in terms of profit per employee, most software businesses are firmly in the $200-300K range when it comes to revenue per head. This represents the upper bound of how much someone can get paid and still make sense - and both NYC and SF/Bay salaries are already a substantial portion of this figure.
A reduction in supply will only result in a rise in salaries until you hit this revenue cap. A continued reduction in supply past this point will result in companies going under as they cannot fulfill labor needs at a price they can afford. This becomes a net negative for the tech industry as the only businesses continuing to employ engineers will be the extreme outliers who can generate highly abnormal revenue numbers per employee. Startup costs will also blow through the roof as the amount of capital required to get a business off the ground explodes. The entire industry suffers as overall employment drops.
It's frustrating how many people in our field live in a fantasy land where squeezing hard on the supply side will mean they get rich.
> "where the kind of people he wishes to hire want to live."
This statement requires more elaboration. I'm in Manhattan, but I also understand that not everyone is like me. To claim that the type of software talent companies are looking for are inevitably urban is entirely misguided. There is no shortage of talented techies who would love nothing more than a house, a lawn, a car, and surfing on weekends.
NYC contains a certain demographic of talent that absolutely refuses to live anywhere else - and anyone has the capability would be well-advised to try to tap into it, but it is not the only demographic worth courting.
This may seem obvious to outsiders but bears repeating sometimes in the city: New York City, and the "type" of people who live there, is not the center of the universe.
While you're condescendingly lecturing others on basic economics, I'd suggest you brush up on what's going on in the tech scene in your own back yard.
Your understanding of economics is also overly simplistic and fails to account for the utility of the good or service being sold. Reduction in supply only raises prices if the utility of what's being traded is infinite and there are no substitutes.
While there are notable outliers in the tech industry in terms of profit per employee, most software businesses are firmly in the $200-300K range when it comes to revenue per head. This represents the upper bound of how much someone can get paid and still make sense - and both NYC and SF/Bay salaries are already a substantial portion of this figure.
A reduction in supply will only result in a rise in salaries until you hit this revenue cap. A continued reduction in supply past this point will result in companies going under as they cannot fulfill labor needs at a price they can afford. This becomes a net negative for the tech industry as the only businesses continuing to employ engineers will be the extreme outliers who can generate highly abnormal revenue numbers per employee. Startup costs will also blow through the roof as the amount of capital required to get a business off the ground explodes. The entire industry suffers as overall employment drops.
It's frustrating how many people in our field live in a fantasy land where squeezing hard on the supply side will mean they get rich.
> "where the kind of people he wishes to hire want to live."
This statement requires more elaboration. I'm in Manhattan, but I also understand that not everyone is like me. To claim that the type of software talent companies are looking for are inevitably urban is entirely misguided. There is no shortage of talented techies who would love nothing more than a house, a lawn, a car, and surfing on weekends.
NYC contains a certain demographic of talent that absolutely refuses to live anywhere else - and anyone has the capability would be well-advised to try to tap into it, but it is not the only demographic worth courting.
This may seem obvious to outsiders but bears repeating sometimes in the city: New York City, and the "type" of people who live there, is not the center of the universe.
When you quote $200 to $300K revenue per head, you are quoting averages, whereas the firms I quoted (and also say, Qualcomm) earn have greater revenues per head and Facebook is about $1 million per employee.
Google has a 3 million square foot building in Manhattan which they purchased for $2 billion. I'm sorry but I don't see Microsoft, Oracle, Apple, Amazon, or any other tech firm making anywhere near that commitment.
Of course, not everyone wants to live in Manhattan and I never said that, but as Google has demonstrated, it should be the second place after SV that you want to have a major presence. There are a lot of extremely intelligent high value employees and networks there. It is also a best place for employees to be that want to improve their careers esp if it overlaps with media, finance, health care delivery, pharma, ...
BTW, I don't make my money as a software or hardware engineer but once worked in both fields. I do believe, with the exception of Google, that Goldman and other top tier finance firms have been brighter than many of the SV firms that have only made a small presence in NYC.
Google has a 3 million square foot building in Manhattan which they purchased for $2 billion. I'm sorry but I don't see Microsoft, Oracle, Apple, Amazon, or any other tech firm making anywhere near that commitment.
Of course, not everyone wants to live in Manhattan and I never said that, but as Google has demonstrated, it should be the second place after SV that you want to have a major presence. There are a lot of extremely intelligent high value employees and networks there. It is also a best place for employees to be that want to improve their careers esp if it overlaps with media, finance, health care delivery, pharma, ...
BTW, I don't make my money as a software or hardware engineer but once worked in both fields. I do believe, with the exception of Google, that Goldman and other top tier finance firms have been brighter than many of the SV firms that have only made a small presence in NYC.
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Most immigrants don't mind living in the valley. In face they would love to live in the valley.
Source : me who lives in the valley and practically all my friends.
Source : me who lives in the valley and practically all my friends.
I've met plenty of young people who would prefer to live in boring Silicon Valley rather than places like Manhattan.
They all have big dev centers around the world. FB opened a big engineering office in the UK
I heard an interesting idea recently: auction off immigration slots. (Not all of them, just a large subset.)
Employers looking to hire talented individuals from abroad would most commonly foot the bill.
There are some cool things about this solution: it raises money for the US Government, it determines who will most likely be a high-value contributor to the economy, and it raises the cost of foreign workers (to balance the interest of American workers).
Employers looking to hire talented individuals from abroad would most commonly foot the bill.
There are some cool things about this solution: it raises money for the US Government, it determines who will most likely be a high-value contributor to the economy, and it raises the cost of foreign workers (to balance the interest of American workers).
It has been pointed out here before that this would significantly disadvantage both start-ups and small companies who may be working in extremely niche environments and require talent from abroad.
That's not true at all.
Auctioning off worker visas would make it possible for startups to hire talented people and to being co-founders to work together in the USA for a cash price. Today, startups are almost completely prevented from using H1 and L1/2 visas because of the paperwork requirements and because CIS examiners choose to assign those visas only to established companies.
The established companies in question usually pay millions and millions to hire the first tech worker because they have to set up a legal department that can deal with the obsolete, contradictory, byzantine, and nonsensical requirements of the law and CIS bureaucracy. Then each tech worker after the first costs only the application fee and salary of the worker.
The high initial cost eliminates startups while the low marginal cost for additional workers means InfoSys and WiPro can fill the quota with low wage, low profit per seat CRUD developers. It's the worst of both worlds.
Startups could easily outbid the body shops for a single talented programmer or founder if each visa were up for bid. Also, the cost would be much, much lower than today's system where you need to hire lawyers to lie for you (yes, it is required to lie; the law as written contradicts basic economic facts).
It's time to put this foolishness to rest: putting tech worker visas up to bid would be good for tech workers, good for startups, good for R&D focused companies, and good for the government budget. It would not be good for cheap body shops that depend on low-wage no-rights workers.
Auctioning off worker visas would make it possible for startups to hire talented people and to being co-founders to work together in the USA for a cash price. Today, startups are almost completely prevented from using H1 and L1/2 visas because of the paperwork requirements and because CIS examiners choose to assign those visas only to established companies.
The established companies in question usually pay millions and millions to hire the first tech worker because they have to set up a legal department that can deal with the obsolete, contradictory, byzantine, and nonsensical requirements of the law and CIS bureaucracy. Then each tech worker after the first costs only the application fee and salary of the worker.
The high initial cost eliminates startups while the low marginal cost for additional workers means InfoSys and WiPro can fill the quota with low wage, low profit per seat CRUD developers. It's the worst of both worlds.
Startups could easily outbid the body shops for a single talented programmer or founder if each visa were up for bid. Also, the cost would be much, much lower than today's system where you need to hire lawyers to lie for you (yes, it is required to lie; the law as written contradicts basic economic facts).
It's time to put this foolishness to rest: putting tech worker visas up to bid would be good for tech workers, good for startups, good for R&D focused companies, and good for the government budget. It would not be good for cheap body shops that depend on low-wage no-rights workers.
My H1B was applied for by a company with ~ 15 employees, and i was their first non-American employee. There was no legal "department." They hired an immigration lawyer. I would guess it cost in the low tens of thousands, not "millions and millions."
> "Today, startups are almost completely prevented from using H1 and L1/2 visas because of the paperwork requirements"
Bullpucky. I am a H-1B holder on my second US-based startup now. The process for getting a H-1B is the same regardless of if your sponsor is Microsoft or Startup.ly.
Hiring H-1Bs is so common for startups that there is no shortage of immigration law firms to service companies that don't have the size to do it internally. I can rattle of a list of five firms I've worked with in the past off the top of my head.
The only real problem with hiring H-1Bs for startups is the long lead time required. For massive companies with predictable aggregate growth, they can afford to hire someone early in the year and have them start October 1st - for many startups that long gap is impossible since the need for people is more immediate and acute. I'm generally of the notion that the once-a-year cycle for H-1Bs would be much better served by moving to a month-by-month model - which would help smaller companies enormously.
> "The established companies in question usually pay millions and millions to hire the first tech worker"
This is not true. I make it a point to look at at much paperwork as I can when I deal with immigration-related matters. The cost for a visa is in the mid thousands, not millions. Like I've said before, there is no shortage of immigration law firms that do this work, there is absolutely no need to set up your own internal legal department to handle immigration unless your sheer size warrants it.
> "putting tech worker visas up to bid would be good for tech workers, good for startups, good for R&D focused companies"
I disagree. In fact I believe that auctioning work visas will only serve to create the future you're most afraid of - the one where massive companies corner the bulk of the visas. It will also serve the re-create the foul situation we've only just now started to untangle re: indentured servitude and the H-1B visa.
We've seen in the past where the nature of green card applications allows employers to hold their employees over a barrel. We've seen contracts that resemble indentured servitude where the payout for the employee is a green card. We've seen tech workers terrorized by managers by having their immigration status constantly lorded over them. It's positively Dickensian and dystopian.
It is still a reality for many, though with reforms in the green card application process, it is thankfully getting better.
So now we dramatically raise the bar on work visa costs, which will only serve to create an alternate avenue for this sort of behavior. Want to come work in the US? MegaCorp will outbid everyone else, and in exchange MegaCorp corners the entire international talent market and gets everybody on a 10-year contract with insane termination clauses (not to mention being shipped back home). A lighter version of this is already reality for many people in the tech industry - this isn't just wild fantasy.
The only losers here are the startups who don't have the sheer cash power to fight the big corporations, and who do not have the means of signing employment contracts with a 10-year horizon. Oh, and the tech workers, who will work in conditions once thought to only exist in Industrial Revolution England.
I'm all for muscling Infosys and WiPro out of the talent-importation market, but there has got to be a better way.
Bullpucky. I am a H-1B holder on my second US-based startup now. The process for getting a H-1B is the same regardless of if your sponsor is Microsoft or Startup.ly.
Hiring H-1Bs is so common for startups that there is no shortage of immigration law firms to service companies that don't have the size to do it internally. I can rattle of a list of five firms I've worked with in the past off the top of my head.
The only real problem with hiring H-1Bs for startups is the long lead time required. For massive companies with predictable aggregate growth, they can afford to hire someone early in the year and have them start October 1st - for many startups that long gap is impossible since the need for people is more immediate and acute. I'm generally of the notion that the once-a-year cycle for H-1Bs would be much better served by moving to a month-by-month model - which would help smaller companies enormously.
> "The established companies in question usually pay millions and millions to hire the first tech worker"
This is not true. I make it a point to look at at much paperwork as I can when I deal with immigration-related matters. The cost for a visa is in the mid thousands, not millions. Like I've said before, there is no shortage of immigration law firms that do this work, there is absolutely no need to set up your own internal legal department to handle immigration unless your sheer size warrants it.
> "putting tech worker visas up to bid would be good for tech workers, good for startups, good for R&D focused companies"
I disagree. In fact I believe that auctioning work visas will only serve to create the future you're most afraid of - the one where massive companies corner the bulk of the visas. It will also serve the re-create the foul situation we've only just now started to untangle re: indentured servitude and the H-1B visa.
We've seen in the past where the nature of green card applications allows employers to hold their employees over a barrel. We've seen contracts that resemble indentured servitude where the payout for the employee is a green card. We've seen tech workers terrorized by managers by having their immigration status constantly lorded over them. It's positively Dickensian and dystopian.
It is still a reality for many, though with reforms in the green card application process, it is thankfully getting better.
So now we dramatically raise the bar on work visa costs, which will only serve to create an alternate avenue for this sort of behavior. Want to come work in the US? MegaCorp will outbid everyone else, and in exchange MegaCorp corners the entire international talent market and gets everybody on a 10-year contract with insane termination clauses (not to mention being shipped back home). A lighter version of this is already reality for many people in the tech industry - this isn't just wild fantasy.
The only losers here are the startups who don't have the sheer cash power to fight the big corporations, and who do not have the means of signing employment contracts with a 10-year horizon. Oh, and the tech workers, who will work in conditions once thought to only exist in Industrial Revolution England.
I'm all for muscling Infosys and WiPro out of the talent-importation market, but there has got to be a better way.
I absolutely agree. Companies like TCS, that get the highest number of H1B visas already, will easily be able to bid high enough at an "immigration auction". Nothing would change at the high end - only at the low end small companies would be crowded out.
Taking this further, the big corporations could potentially (and probably will) play strategically and outbid most start-ups.
Taking this further, the big corporations could potentially (and probably will) play strategically and outbid most start-ups.
There is an NPR podcast on this idea (http://www.npr.org/blogs/money/2013/02/21/172501563/three-wa...), and it kind of skeeved me out. It just sounds like indentured servitude to me.
Why not base them off employee salary ? This will get in money in the form of taxes and make sure these companies pay big amounts to get skilled labor.
This also solves the whole TCS, infosys, services companies hoarding on h1b. They wouldn't be able to complete since it is not their business model.
This also solves the whole TCS, infosys, services companies hoarding on h1b. They wouldn't be able to complete since it is not their business model.
The challenge with the US is that all talk of immigration focusses on illegal immigrants, rather than highly skilled and educated immigrants.
It's unfortunate that the Obama administration won't separate these two kinds of immigrants since they fear in doing so, they won't be able to get comprehensive immigration reform passed.
Other countries recognize the value of highly educated immigrants who want to create companies. Canada, for example, just announced it's startup visa specifically targeting immigrants who want to move to the country to start a company.
http://www.theverge.com/2013/4/1/4170022/canada-startup-visa...
It's unfortunate that the Obama administration won't separate these two kinds of immigrants since they fear in doing so, they won't be able to get comprehensive immigration reform passed.
Other countries recognize the value of highly educated immigrants who want to create companies. Canada, for example, just announced it's startup visa specifically targeting immigrants who want to move to the country to start a company.
http://www.theverge.com/2013/4/1/4170022/canada-startup-visa...
Negotiating 101 is to always try and do the whole thing at once rather than piecemeal. If you do the parts that everyone agrees to, there's nothing in common to build around for the hard stuff later.
Also in general, just doing the popular stuff leads to big problems later (that's how we ended up with low taxes and high spending, nobody wants to do either of the hard parts of balancing a budget).
Also in general, just doing the popular stuff leads to big problems later (that's how we ended up with low taxes and high spending, nobody wants to do either of the hard parts of balancing a budget).
The whole point, of course, is to open the country to massive immigration under the guise of letting in a comparative handful of skilled immigrants. That way the Republican business interests get lower wages in their meat-packing plants and so on while the Democrats swell their ranks with impoverished voters. It's a win-win!
Massive immigration will help make sure I get my social security...
Well, they want to make it easier for companies to get good working power, not allow people come and "steal" your benefits.
I think you read me as saying the opposite of what I was saying. The biggest problem with entitlements in the current environment is that the younger/working population is shrinking relative to the older/retiring population. Opening the borders means more younger workers coming, and probably having more children, who'll be "paying for my social security."
Of course, the comment was jokingly flippant - it's not really a good reason to throw the borders open, though there are certainly more serious arguments on both sides of that debate.
Of course, the comment was jokingly flippant - it's not really a good reason to throw the borders open, though there are certainly more serious arguments on both sides of that debate.
Social security is built on a population bubble. Like the housing bubble, we can't expect it to last.
Yes. Increasing immigration is a way of keeping that bubble inflated longer. Like I said, it was jokingly flippant, in terms of actual reasons.
I think he's alluding to the fact that the more people that come and work in the U.S., the more people there will be to fund his social security.
Assuming that they actually work.
What the hell does that mean?
He means the hell that immigrant households use welfare and related wealth-transfer programs at higher rates than do non-immigrant households. But of course his comment got the hell voted down by the hive-mind because he was rude enough to notice.
> immigrant households use welfare and related wealth transfer programs at higher rates
The data includes both legal and illegal immigrants along with the minority high skilled immigrants.
http://www.cis.org/immigrant-welfare-use-2011 implies that most of that welfare use is from low skilled immigrants and not high skilled ones that are the topic of interest of most HNers.
He presumably got downvoted because it is irrelevant at best and misdirection at worst (by combining illegal and legal data and claiming immigrants claim more welfare which makes it look like highly skilled immigrants claim more welfare).
The data includes both legal and illegal immigrants along with the minority high skilled immigrants.
http://www.cis.org/immigrant-welfare-use-2011 implies that most of that welfare use is from low skilled immigrants and not high skilled ones that are the topic of interest of most HNers.
He presumably got downvoted because it is irrelevant at best and misdirection at worst (by combining illegal and legal data and claiming immigrants claim more welfare which makes it look like highly skilled immigrants claim more welfare).
A quote from the link that you provide: "But even households with children comprised entirely of immigrants (no U.S.-born children) still had a welfare use rate of 56 percent in 2009." Not a very impressive difference, that.
As for the notion that most HNers are interested only in high-skilled immigrants rather than low-skilled ones, that may well be the case. But low-skilled immigrants certainly are interested in HNers, or rather the money that HNers possess.
As for the notion that most HNers are interested only in high-skilled immigrants rather than low-skilled ones, that may well be the case. But low-skilled immigrants certainly are interested in HNers, or rather the money that HNers possess.
>even households with children comprised entirely of immigrants
I kinda suspected you will quote that! You realize that you cannot tie that to skilled immigrants as such right? For e.g. there is family based immigration, diversity visas and what not that could and does result in households with children comprised entirely of immigrants.
If one thing is clear - highly skilled immigrants are not taking your welfare. I have lived through it and encountered a lot of high skilled immigrants and have not even an anecdote to refer you to where someone was using welfare. I would be very surprised to see data that indicates H1Bs, EB-1/2/3s, F-1s etc. take significant part of welfare benefits.
I kinda suspected you will quote that! You realize that you cannot tie that to skilled immigrants as such right? For e.g. there is family based immigration, diversity visas and what not that could and does result in households with children comprised entirely of immigrants.
If one thing is clear - highly skilled immigrants are not taking your welfare. I have lived through it and encountered a lot of high skilled immigrants and have not even an anecdote to refer you to where someone was using welfare. I would be very surprised to see data that indicates H1Bs, EB-1/2/3s, F-1s etc. take significant part of welfare benefits.
What you say you want: more skilled immigrants.
What we will get: more welfare, more crime, more unemployment, more ethnic nepotism.
What we will get: more welfare, more crime, more unemployment, more ethnic nepotism.
You really need to separate the illegals and family/diversity based less skilled immigrants from the skilled ones, otherwise it makes it sound like it is somehow skilled immigrants and their employers' fault that we have all of the perils you mentioned. http://www.dhs.gov/sites/default/files/publications/ois_lpr_... - 2012 immigration stats. Only 14% of legal immigration is skills based.
I don't see how asking for/having more skilled immigrants can possibly be linked to more crime, more unemployment or whatever. Unless you are speculating on what congress might do with immigration reform that will cause it or you want immigration to be completely stopped. (Not sure how that will work out given the illegals situation.)
I don't see how asking for/having more skilled immigrants can possibly be linked to more crime, more unemployment or whatever. Unless you are speculating on what congress might do with immigration reform that will cause it or you want immigration to be completely stopped. (Not sure how that will work out given the illegals situation.)
I'd be happy to separate the various categories of immigrants, but here on Planet Earth those who have the power to implement policy--politicians, pundits, Silicon Valley billionaires--seem hellbent on implementing policies that will open this country up to millions upon tens of millions upon hundreds of millions of people desperate to get into any country that isn't the one they currently live in.
I can't help but state my observation that you sound like a total bigot.
In your OPINION I sound the hell like a total bigot. (As opposed to a partial bigot, I suppose.) Your OPINION and twenty-five bucks will buy a phony Green Card.
"...to get good working power..." You forgot "for much less money".
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Alright, someone please explain to me how this can be fixed? For example, I'm American and my team is a Russian and a Belgian. I would love for all of us to pick up our bags and move to the US, but can't because of obvious immigration issues. So even if there was a system set up to support them immigrating to the US, how on earth am I supposed to prove that they would contributing members of society (aka pay high taxes and add jobs)?
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Zuckerberg said: "We have a strange immigration policy for a nation of immigrants". The economist says "insane" would be a better term.
I actually agree that we should be more welcoming to highly skilled immigrants in general, but the "nation of immigrants" rhetoric is getting irritating.
The US currently takes 1.2 million immigrants legally into the country every year. This will be true regardless of whether we award large numbers of work visas to the sort of people Zuckerberg would like to hire.
Our immigration system is more based on family reunification than the hiring priorities of the high tech industry. I would agree that there are better ways to decide who will get to come to the US.
But this isn't really about immigration per se, the specific legislation under consideration is about awarding visas or green cards directly to people with graduate STEM degrees. A good idea sure, but why does nobody at the economist point out that US takes huge numbers of immigrants every year and will continue to do so regardless of what happens with this legislation?
I actually agree that we should be more welcoming to highly skilled immigrants in general, but the "nation of immigrants" rhetoric is getting irritating.
The US currently takes 1.2 million immigrants legally into the country every year. This will be true regardless of whether we award large numbers of work visas to the sort of people Zuckerberg would like to hire.
Our immigration system is more based on family reunification than the hiring priorities of the high tech industry. I would agree that there are better ways to decide who will get to come to the US.
But this isn't really about immigration per se, the specific legislation under consideration is about awarding visas or green cards directly to people with graduate STEM degrees. A good idea sure, but why does nobody at the economist point out that US takes huge numbers of immigrants every year and will continue to do so regardless of what happens with this legislation?
Actually, the only immigration legislation that will be considered by the US Senate as currently constituted is omnibus ("comprehensive") immigration legislation. It will address several guest worker programs, amnesty for unauthorized migrants, border enforcement, personnel issues at CIS and Border Patrol, fees and budget authority, naturalization,and more.
The leadership of the senate chose that strategy in order to require tech company management and others to lobby in favor of a bill with both benefits for them -- like driving down tech wages -- and other changes that are unpopular with the public -- like amnesty. It's a gambit they use to get both sets of changes through instead of only the popular or best funded ones.
The leadership of the senate chose that strategy in order to require tech company management and others to lobby in favor of a bill with both benefits for them -- like driving down tech wages -- and other changes that are unpopular with the public -- like amnesty. It's a gambit they use to get both sets of changes through instead of only the popular or best funded ones.
Why is the 1.2 million number fixed in stone? I would be happy to have 10 million a year. 1.2 million is clearly below the market demand, and the market demand is what is driving the whole thing. It was really enlightening for me that illegal immigration dropped when the economy went down in the last few years. If we align immigration with the market everything would be better.
Obviously there is a number where our infrastructure would be completely swamped, but nothing grows the economy faster than a pile of immigrants. Especially when they are permanent immigrants. The current system encourages a lot people to come for a short period and then go home, which isn't really great for the country long term.
Obviously there is a number where our infrastructure would be completely swamped, but nothing grows the economy faster than a pile of immigrants. Especially when they are permanent immigrants. The current system encourages a lot people to come for a short period and then go home, which isn't really great for the country long term.
Why not a hundred million a year? You could get that many from Africa alone. Because nothing grows the economy faster than a pile of immigrants, except maybe an extinction-level mega-tsunami of immigrants racing toward the coastline at hypersonic speed.
Yep, that would really be great for the economy. Which is of course exactly the same thing as the country.
Yep, that would really be great for the economy. Which is of course exactly the same thing as the country.
Nobody is saying the US doesn't take in a large number of immigrants. The problem is that they make it incredibly difficult for people to get in and also difficult to stay. The "nation of immigrants" comments refer to the fact that the US got to where it is thanks in large part due to immigrants (e.g. by 1860 1/4 of the people living in New York had been born in Ireland and another 1/4 were from Germany).[1]
[1] http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_York_City#Early_history
[1] http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_York_City#Early_history
Not to mention, as GP mentioned, the bulk of immigration in the US is family reunification. While other developed nations are using immigration policy as an economic driver, importing the best and brightest from elsewhere, the US's immigration policy does not support its own economic goals.
The argument being made by tech lobbyist groups, among other immigration reform groups, is that the US needs to start wielding its immigration policy as a strategic economic tool rather than the somewhat directionless policy which exists today where small allowances are made for the importation of talent but which does not appear to be part of any cohesive overarching policy.
The argument being made by tech lobbyist groups, among other immigration reform groups, is that the US needs to start wielding its immigration policy as a strategic economic tool rather than the somewhat directionless policy which exists today where small allowances are made for the importation of talent but which does not appear to be part of any cohesive overarching policy.
Curious to hear others experiences. How many white, north american born people are on your current team? I'm the only one on my current team and have often been the minority in the groups I work with.
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As a european developer and HN reader I've recently been wondering how feasible it is to move to the states after I finished university.
It seems the general trend would be something in the like of getting a visa, start looking for a job and be lucky your employer can get you a green card. After this 5 years of living in the states before you can become an American citizen.
Please do correct me if I'm wrong!
It seems the general trend would be something in the like of getting a visa, start looking for a job and be lucky your employer can get you a green card. After this 5 years of living in the states before you can become an American citizen.
Please do correct me if I'm wrong!
H-1B is an employer sponsored visa, valid only for working on a specific job (though it's possible to transfer to a different employer) so it's getting a job first then getting a visa. Then your employer can sponsor your green card application. Depending on the level you apply/qualify for you wait 1-6 years for a green card.
What exactly does that mean, the level you apply/qualify for? Does it depend on your education or merely on how much your employer put into it?
Because 6 years waiting for a green card, after which another 5 years before you can apply for citizenship and keeping in mind the economy changes trough the years.
Short answer: all of the above.
The most important factor here is your preference category when applying for a green card. There are 3 buckets, EB-1, EB-2, and EB-3, in decreasing order of desirability. Which bucket you fall into is a combination of your degree(s) and your relevant work experience.
Each bucket has a longer wait than the previous.
The second factor is your country of origin - the system is quota'ed based on it, so the more applicants coming from your country of origin the longer the line is. For the most part this is a minor factor except if you're from China or India, in which case you're pretty fucked.
I believe (though I'm not sure) there are also other ways to expedite processing for $$$, but this mostly surrounds various form filings that can otherwise take months to process. The actual line itself cannot be shortened.
The most important factor here is your preference category when applying for a green card. There are 3 buckets, EB-1, EB-2, and EB-3, in decreasing order of desirability. Which bucket you fall into is a combination of your degree(s) and your relevant work experience.
Each bucket has a longer wait than the previous.
The second factor is your country of origin - the system is quota'ed based on it, so the more applicants coming from your country of origin the longer the line is. For the most part this is a minor factor except if you're from China or India, in which case you're pretty fucked.
I believe (though I'm not sure) there are also other ways to expedite processing for $$$, but this mostly surrounds various form filings that can otherwise take months to process. The actual line itself cannot be shortened.
Yup. An easier route would be to get hired in Europe working for a company that has a branch in US and then do a transfer.
Yet another alternative is to start your own company in US and invest about half a million $ (officially, unofficially have seen it done for 100k).
Yet another alternative would be to get a job in academia that has H1B uncapped.
Yet another alternative is to start your own company in US and invest about half a million $ (officially, unofficially have seen it done for 100k).
Yet another alternative would be to get a job in academia that has H1B uncapped.
Abolish the indenture servitude H-1B program, have self applied green card program instead.
What's stopping all these companies from growing the talent themselves? The rhetoric always makes it sound like the sky is falling and if they don't get their super smart foreign staff NOW, the business will crash. The problem is that this sort of story plays out year after year with one tech group or another having a "critical shortage." You'd think if this were an immediate problem then these companies that were unable to source and retain talent would have died off by now. Surprisingly they're still here.
And the types of talent that the likes of Google or Facebook would be interested in -- genuine genius and extra-ordinary ability-- already have visa programs: O-1 and EB-1. It's just that H-1B visas are relatively easier to get.
So what makes getting immigrants a better proposition than growing the talent yourself? Everyone wants the talent, but nobody wants to cultivate it.
And the types of talent that the likes of Google or Facebook would be interested in -- genuine genius and extra-ordinary ability-- already have visa programs: O-1 and EB-1. It's just that H-1B visas are relatively easier to get.
So what makes getting immigrants a better proposition than growing the talent yourself? Everyone wants the talent, but nobody wants to cultivate it.
Forget that angle for a second.
When I sitting in my graduate engineer classes, 50%+ of the students were foreign. Most of them were working with professors on projects supported by the federal government via various grants programs (NIS, DOD, etc). Most of them wanted to stay in the US after graduation.
Few of them were allowed to.
Doesn't that seem like a massive waste of our educational system? Why are we spending so much time and energy educating people and then refusing to allow them to stay in the US?
When I sitting in my graduate engineer classes, 50%+ of the students were foreign. Most of them were working with professors on projects supported by the federal government via various grants programs (NIS, DOD, etc). Most of them wanted to stay in the US after graduation.
Few of them were allowed to.
Doesn't that seem like a massive waste of our educational system? Why are we spending so much time and energy educating people and then refusing to allow them to stay in the US?
No, what seems like a massive waste of our educational system is the notion that Federal tax dollars are going toward the higher education of non-citizens at the same time that millions of Americans either can't afford to go to school or are groaning under the weight of student debts. Odd that you should have missed that.
I think in the case of STEM grad schools the Federal money finally goes where the best return on investment is. Professors, not government, decide whom to hire, roughly speaking.
The best return for whom? For the Americans forking over tax money used for the employment and credentialing of people not from this country?
Of all the top large technical companies (Microsoft, Apple, Google, Oracle, Intel, Facebook, ...) only Google has a major presence in Manhattan (in Chelsea) for software developers and engineers (it owns the second largest office building in New York City). If Zuckerberg and friends would read a some of Richard Florida, he'd find that young people don't want to live in boring Silicon Valley (many take a long daily commute from SF) but rather in places like Manhattan. Disclosure: I live in Manhattan
Lowering the wage rate is not the best way to get technical talent. The best way to do as Google has done and go to where a lot of smart, enterprising people want to live.