The Draper Curve(kdivvela.posterous.com)
kdivvela.posterous.com
The Draper Curve
http://kdivvela.posterous.com/im-52-years-old-so-you-cant-say-i-dont-have-a
8 comments
also, past performance is not guarantee for future success- otherwise there would be much fewer banks bankrupting.
This looks like a graphical interpretation of the well-known quote: "We tend to overestimate the short term impact of a technology and underestimate the long term impact." (Dr. Francis Collins - Director of the Human Genome Project)
I wonder what the Donald Draper curve is like.
Personally I was hoping for John Draper.
A 2600 Hz sine wave! rimshot
Better explained here: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hype_cycle
and some examples here: http://www.floor.nl/ebiz/gartnershypecycle.htm
Did he really claim ownership of the idea? Sounds exactly like what Moore pointed out in 1991 via "Crossing the Chasm". http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Crossing_the_Chasm
Was there, mans a genius. Enough said.
Without that it's just an optimistic line on a whiteboard that means "there won't be another dot.com crash, this time it's to real".