AI development is going to get even faster(jack-clark.net)
jack-clark.net
AI development is going to get even faster
https://jack-clark.net/2016/04/03/why-ai-development-is-going-to-get-even-faster-yes-really/
3 comments
There's no real guarantee that current success with neural networks will continue to ramp up all the way to hard AI. They're impressive, and getting more interesting all the time, but the downside of the whole "though neural networks generalize very well, we still lack a decent theory to describe them, so much of the field proceeds by intuition" is that we don't know when they'll suddenly stop being useful for some problem.
I agree that the road to hard AI is still foggy, but the applications of the current technology by itself has only scratched the surface.
For example, since Deep Learning has already shown great advance in the audio-visual tasks, the entertainment business which heavily utilize those senses will get a boost all around.
For example, since Deep Learning has already shown great advance in the audio-visual tasks, the entertainment business which heavily utilize those senses will get a boost all around.
This doesn't really describe how development is going to get faster. It just lumps the next big leap into unsupervised learning - which isn't really an understood concept as the author describes.
The "unsupervised learning as black box" argument always bothers me. It looks too much like the consciousness debate. The theory that UL is an emergent property from massively scaled NAIs is at least plausible IMO, but that wasn't really discussed.
The "unsupervised learning as black box" argument always bothers me. It looks too much like the consciousness debate. The theory that UL is an emergent property from massively scaled NAIs is at least plausible IMO, but that wasn't really discussed.
One of the most interesting aspects of the field - we don't have robust ways of predicting what will work without trying it.