I would beg to differ. A lot of game developers watch gaming streams. There's a reason why cohhcarnage was asked to voice in cyberpunk and baldur's gate 3, and why blizzard personnels will respond to asmongold directly
the stock is doomed, check out asmongold's video https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hNXQ2bYik78. more importantly, insiders have been selling a ton, for example the founder of iron source. Silver lake sold all of theirs direct stocks for example.
"Yeah, for example China's position of overwhelming strength vs. weak little USoA meant that China's wages have risen by an order of magnitude and their technology catapulted into the present century, building them in to the world's largest economy."
Just a subtle subterfuge against dollar if I had to guess
"Chinese factories haven't slowed down and Chinese GDP is still rising"
This line is so wrong. You can't have 22% (at least) youth unemployment rate, and 19th straight month collapsing land sales revenue https://www.reuters.com/article/china-economy-landsales/chin... (which is how local government get most of its money), and your biggest and second biggest real estate developer going bankrupt, and still support a 5% GDP growth as mentioned by the Chinese government. just doesn't happen in a real world.
And there are so many reports of factories closing down, especially in the Shenzhen and Dongguan districts, either online videos or news reports https://thediplomat.com/2023/04/dongguans-industrial-woes-ch..., that I don't know why you're attempting to lie outright.
1.) "The demand side is mostly people buying second and third units as investments." that is incorrect. Most purchases are first purchases from couples that want to get married, and a home purchase is a required dowry from men that they need in order to get approved for marriage from the parents.
There are famous online videos from newlyweds that purchased a condo from a few years ago, and have been documenting their journey, and they still haven't received the unit. Meanwhile their kid was born already.
3.) Nope. China’s government land sales revenue declined for the 19th consecutive month in July. Land sales fell 10.1% from a year earlier in July, after declining 24.3% the previous month https://www.reuters.com/article/china-economy-landsales/chin...
There are a number, and I mean a large number of issues. I'll just pick a few
1.) as of 2021, There are nearly 800 unfinished Evergrande projects in more than 200 cities across China. https://www.nytimes.com/2021/09/28/business/china-evergrande.... Even if the buildings were unfinished, the buyer still had to keep paying the mortgage!! and if they didn't, and the courts foreclosed the property and sold it, the buyer is liable for the fees and the differences. Most of the time the buyer is hugely underwater since the real estate price in 2023 has crashed 50% - 70% from peak. And now, because your social credit is shot, you no longer can purchase tickets for flight or train, making it even harder to try to find jobs to pay back your debt.
2.) China is known for its tofu dreg buildings. Just google online if you want to see brand new condos with facades blown off, cracked foundation, sand mixture where cement should be, tilted buildings, etc. This is especially true with buildings built in the last few years. And this is especially true for buildings from bankrupt mega developers like evergrande and country garden.
3.) This is a domino that leads to a series of systemic collapse. Country garden, the second largest developer in China, missed bond payments as small as 22 million recently. It had a capitalization of 60B in 2018. Now it has a debt of 200B. Zhongzhi enterprise missed payments recently, being one of the largest trust company. People are reminded of Lehman from these events. https://www.businessinsider.com/china-economy-beijing-lehman.... Doesn't help that export and import just collapsed by double digits in July, exports to US dropped 23% y/y, there's huge youth unemployment of at least 22%, foreign investment dropped 90% in 2023, and the worst flood in the last 50 years just hit China's biggest grain region.
Oh yeah, and because Chinese citizens are outraged by Fukushima release, they are boycotting Japanese seafood, and in general all seafood, which has decimated the entire seafood industry in China overnight, with no traffic to seafood market or restaurants.
4.) Even if the buildings were done, a lot of the buildings are empty and not livable due to shoddy finish, foreclosures, no public amenities working, lack of residents (owners are selling the units at 50% price cuts), etc. Imagine living in a huge 50 story building with only a few residents at night. https://www.architecturaldigest.com/story/see-inside-a-ghost...
The young generation of Iran doesn't buy into the whole blaming the US thing for something that happened 70 years (1 generation!!) ago - which the US tried to install a more westernized leader. A lot of anti-US people with agenda wants the world to think otherwise. Case in point:
If we're talking about the contents on TikTok, there's probably a very good reason why the ultimate owner of TikTok, the Chinese government, wants that kind of content to be the majority sentiment on the platform.
The built-in culture of risk taking in US can't be underestimated. Yes, we joke about Florida man and lament about the excess funding for startups. But with great risk comes great reward, and chances for inexperienced founders to prove themselves. Nowhere else on the planet are you able to do that with such magnitude, not in Japan, not in Europe, not in China (now that they're broke and in a Great Depression, and Xi is killing off entrepreneurs).
China's REPORTED GDP 'growth' for 2022 was +2.9%. In a year where Chinese LNG demand was down 22%, their real estate market (which represents 33% of Chinese GDP) was in the midst of a collapse, literally welding Chinese citizens into their apartment buildings, and the WeChat payments flowing through their system were down over 20% yoy. In 2023, YOUTH UNEMPLOYMENT is somewhere between 20% and 50%, 48 local governments are in some stage of default on their debt (LGFV debt is approximately $10trillion or just under 60% of GDP), the majority of Chinese property developers are in default of their dollar bonds (71% are in default of over $180 billion in bonds), Xi has ordered all corporate and macro level dat to be severed to the West, and the Chinese government is reporting +5.5% GDP 'GROWTH'?! Reputable economists don't believe these numbers from the CPC
China is rue(ing?) right now. China's local governments are dealing with a monumental local debt crisis from real estate fallout, and incidentally from too many built out unused rails and highways. And the center government has already said they are not going to rescue the local and provincial governments, "prefers local or provincial governments to sort out their own debt problems, and not create a moral hazard"
As a result, the civil servants in China are seeing 25-50% paycut.