At least from the article, it seems he wants to position Microsoft as someone who provides access to all models including non frontier models in order to democratize access. He sees OpenAI, Anthropic and Google as the AI giants who are trying to dictate the future.
I ended up seeing a video of this and it looked like the neighbors placed one of those lime green kid cutouts in the cul-de-sac and it seems to have confused the Waymos.
Thanks for this fascinating write up. I could not afford anything better when I got into my first job, and the freedom that this mediocre box provided me was unbelievable.
As someone who is pretty skeptical and reads the fine print, I think this is a good move and I really do not see a downside (other than the fact that this probably strengthens the nVidia monoculture).
I thought about that too, but realized that it is double counting the returns. If you look at the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) method for valuing the company, the current value of the company is already the sum of the discounted cash flows from the future. i.e. the next 3-5 year returns are already priced into the pre 30% hike value.
It is interesting how most M&A transactions trend to have a 30% premium above the trading price. I have tried to investigate why but could not find a good explanation to why this number is so prevalent.
I can see the other things but "Apple home button scandal" either does not belong in the same league or there might be something I do not know about. Can you expand a little bit on your thinking?
I think you have a point but part of this was self-inflicted. Instead of knowledgeable salespersons who could help with the purchase, the stores tried to cut costs and replace them with lower cost people who did not know/care as much. If they reverse this trend I think the malls can come back.
Pretty straightforward. The current value of the company is the Net Present Value of all the future expected cash flows. Basically you can take the money Apple will make in 2024, 2025, 2026 ... and reduce them to today's values by discounting with the interest rates: pretty much divide by (1+r)^n. Since Apple already makes a ton of money each year it is valued pretty high. Nvidia on the other hand has to GROW its earnings a LOT to justify its valuations.
I am not an expert in this space but dabble a bit. This comment is spot on. AMD's software is pretty bad and NVDA has captured all the developer attention with CUDA and is the basis for lot of the frameworks people use. It is not a trivial advantage to break. I do wish good luck to AMD.
I really thought there would be a statement detailing what the risks are but this seems more like a soundbite to be consumed on TV. Pretty disappointing.
It maybe impossible to predict what the Fed would do but it is certainly possible to avoid a lot of the damage by duration matching of assets and liabilities. e.g. Do not take short term deposits in checking that are callable at any time and invest them in 10 year maturity instruments. No issues at all taking proceeds from 5 year CDs and putting them into 5 year maturity bonds.