> For instance, the well-documented decline of productivity of the American white-collar worker has convincingly been linked to over-automation of the American office, but the “negative” outcome of this study has been totally ignored, in fact so much that many people involved in computing cannot believe it.
Although it doesn't make sense to have prediction markets for truly catasclymic events -- anyone who believes nuclear war is imminent is gonna prefer to buy canned food over prediction market contracts.
I changed my trends location to Tokyo on someone's recommendation, and it's been a great workaround. I don't speak Japanese, so it's the same as 'hiding' the trends to my brain.
(I think the way to do this is 'Explore' -> gear icon, at least on desktop.)
I guess there's another causal chain, which is 'buying ETH to pay gas fees -> price of ETH goes up -> value of block reward to miners goes up -> more miners find it profitable to operate rigs'. I wonder how strong that effect is.
OTOH, you do have a lot of control in many cases. I realized that I was way too emotionally invested in a lot of work interactions because I just hadn't thought through what I actually wanted. Once I realized that, I was able to dial down my emotional investment and I stopped forming grudges at least in those cases.
> Ask the candidate. I would often straight out ask people how effective they were at GSD, and how did they compare to their peers? It was surprising how honest some (very smart) people would be on this. E.g. "I am average compared to other engineers". For an early stage startup, average is not enough.
lol, wait, if this line of thought works, why don't you also just ask them how good they are at coding, instead of wasting all that time doing interviews?
I think the target audience is 'people who believe that they have to believe the strawman', if that makes sense.
Pointing out that certain statements are self-defeating and (by definition) have no proponents can help someone escape a dangerous psychological process ('stance').
As a personal example, when I deconverted from evangelical Christianity, I was disturbed for a long time by the idea that I now had no reason to act morally. Even though that's obviously self-defeating (being disturbed was in itself a sign of morality), I didn't realize that for quite some time.
+1. I think it's dangerous to try to tell yourself there's a win-win (make more money AND make the world better) when there isn't one. I really like the way Anand Giridharadas talks about this. https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2018/09/the-win-wi...
I'm amused by the implication that if Google has even one piece of incorrect information in its knowledge corpus, it's justified in returning absolutely any answer to any question. You can deduce anything from a contradiction, after all.
> isn't given the game rules, so it doesn't know the difference between legal and illegal moves
But it does have some way to determine a list of legal moves from any given state, and a way to determine whether a state is winning. To me, that's being 'given the game rules'.
> before any training it would evaluate a capture no differently than any other move.
> In chess, AlphaZero initially doesn’t know it can take an opponent’s pieces. Over hours of high-speed play against successively more powerful incarnations of itself, it becomes more skilled, and to some eyes more natural, than prior chess engines.
'doesn’t know it can take an opponent’s pieces' - really? How would the world be different if it did 'know'?
I know this is kind of a nitpick, but I'm tired of all the metaphors in tech journalism that hold no informational value. I think giving a sense of false understanding is worse than just saying nothing at all.