Given the power and cooling requirements, and the underlying techniques used for LLMs right now, I think 'for now' is going to be quite a few years. Maybe a decade plus. Plenty of time to train a new cohort of human developers who do more than just code 24/7.
Given my ChatGPT and friends experience has been one of overwhelming frustration due to incorrect information, I would say Math Academy is in an entirely different galaxy. ChatGPT is great if you want to learn that pi is equal to 4.
You... You realize that they could just have two tests in a drawer, and they give one to black people, and one to white people, including reporters and federal officials? Why are you dying on this hill??
It would be intensive but it's very doable. You could use koboldcpp or something like that with an exposed endpoint just on the local machine and use that. You'll likely run into issues with GPU vendors and ensuring that you've got the right software versions running, but with some checking, it should be viable. Maybe include a fallback in case the system can't produce results in a timely manner.
Sorry everyone, but this doesn't pass the smell test for me. Over half of their citations are for research that's 20-40 years old, and their more contemporary citations are from papers the authors themselves published in the last ten years.
I agree with this overall sentiment. When the author speaks of "crappy institutions and leaders" I understand he mean something along the lines of "we shouldn't accept this level of performance from things we can change" or some other call for more effective government/infrastructure/etc.
It's when the author drops into 'overwhelming debt ending in failure' that he drops the mask enough to show that he doesn't want any sort of government or public infrastructure. It's a libertarian, leaning anarcho-capitalist, viewpoint that explains the discontinuity in tone that permeates many of the articles I sampled from this author.
The article mentions Rippling as still having that 'spark', but they've been pretty awful the past few months. Between layoffs and data loss, it's looked pretty dire when I've talked to them.
If this article was written in the 1950s, the author would be blaming people of color and "that damnable civil rights act". I don't think this author is coming from a place of good faith when he starts off the article saying he was among the privileged few who was given a rare chance to possibly be a billionaire, if he just played his cards right. And then frames it as a real shame that his good (if not perfect!!!) ideas were ignored.