icompetetowin

5 anni fadiscuss

Only paying attention to those who survive or succeed can mislead you.

Mental model exercises I wrote a few months ago:

https://newsletter.decisionschool.org/p/decision-making-bias...

icompetetowin

5 anni fadiscuss

I like your term "cognitive guard", might start using it!

icompetetowin

5 anni fadiscuss

Learn about mental models (tools to understand and predict things about the world) then practice using them.

For learning, check out fs.blog: https://fs.blog/mental-models/

For practice, check out Decision School: http://decisionschool.org/

icompetetowin

5 anni fadiscuss

Thanks for the recommendation! Read a bit about the project, it's amazing what a group of passionate people can accomplish.

icompetetowin

5 anni fadiscuss

Thanks for the recommendation! I don't usually play board games (except Monopoly with family) but I'll check it out.

icompetetowin

5 anni fadiscuss

Thanks for the recommendation! Which CIV would you recommend to a beginner?

icompetetowin

5 anni fadiscuss

Thanks for all the recommendations! I've seen Joan of Arc on PSP, lots of really good reviews. Same thing for the Fire Emblem series.

Out of Advance Wars, Joan of Arc, Hyperdevotion Noire, Fire Emblem and potentially Nobunaga lol, which would you recommend to a beginner in the strategy genre?

icompetetowin

5 anni fadiscuss

The game looks amazing! I won't be able to try it yet with my current setup but I added it to my steam wishlist.

Quick question: Do you recommend trying out the game with a few friends or should I just jump in alone?

icompetetowin

5 anni fadiscuss

Thanks! Quite a few people here recommended the game so I'll definitely play it.

icompetetowin

5 anni fadiscuss

Thanks! I'll get Supreme Commander during the next sale. I plan to try out most game recommendations in this thread then stick to the one I like most.

icompetetowin

5 anni fadiscuss

Thanks for the recommendation! I've tried AOE2 a long time ago (15 years ago) and I kind of enjoyed it, so I'll give the definitive edition a try.

Never heard of Factorio, so I'll have to check it out.

icompetetowin

5 anni fadiscuss

Thank you for such an in-depth answer!

I've looked at poker and bridge as potential ways to practice decision-making, so your comment is timely.

I wasn't aware of Game Theory Optimized (GTO) training software, but now that I am, I will probably start learning poker with it.

Also as you said, getting objective feedback in real life is hard, I've seen people using decision journals but I find it difficult to keep one.

icompetetowin

5 anni fadiscuss

Is this the article: https://aeon.co/essays/anti-vaccination-might-be-rational-bu...

Also this part stood out to me: "Sure, the risks of vaccination were low and the benefits to society were high. But if your kid is the rare person who experiences a severe side effect, the greater good no longer matters."

icompetetowin

5 anni fadiscuss

That's really interesting, could you expand on "reasonableness"?

icompetetowin

5 anni fadiscuss

Thanks for the feedback!

I agree with you, I should have been clearer.

I'm talking about decision-making in the context of business & life.

While reading about decision-making in that context, I've come across many concepts (such as mental models).

I've been looking for exercises that would test my understanding of those concepts. And that would give me enough practice to turn them into habits.

icompetetowin

5 anni fadiscuss

I want to be great at making decisions.

But it's hard to practice and even harder to get feedback.

I've tried books, courses, and talks.

While some provide exercises, these resources are mostly informative.

This makes it hard to know if I really understood what i've learned.

And more importantly, if I can apply it.

That's why I decided to create the Decision School.

An online platform dedicated to providing exercises (with feedback) on decision making.

While the platform is being built, I will post exercises through this newsletter/blog.

Feedback is greatly appreciated.

Thank you!

icompetetowin

Submissions

Ask HN: How to protect online games from bots?

Ask HN: Your Most Fun Video Game?

Tik-Tok and the Three Laws of Robotics

Decision Making Bias: Availability

Decision Making Bias: Common Belief Fallacy

Decision Making Bias: Base Rate Fallacy

Mental Model Exercises: Insensitivity to Sample Size

Learn and practice using Second-Order Thinking with exercises

Practice Charlie Munger's Mental Models with Exercises

A few things account for most of the results

Negligence is more likely than malice

Ask HN: What are some good strategy games?

Learn and practice using Inversion with exercises

Learn and practice avoiding Survivorship Bias with exercises

Ask HN: Is it possible to practice decision-making / rationality?

Learn and practice using Hanlon's Razor with exercises

Learn and practice using the Circle of Competence with exercises

Learn and practice using Occam's Razor with exercises

Show HN: Practice your decision making skills with exercises

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