n=56 doesn't give you much information regarding the margin of error, unless you practice Tarot Reader's cat science. The standard deviation of outcomes and the difference between both outcomes matter just as much.
If I flip a coin 56 times and it always falls on head, I can be pretty much certain that it's not a fair coin. I wouldn't need to flip it 1000 times. We are all someone else's "know-nothing hack"...
Can we know for sure that the price drop is accompanied by a change in the model such as quantization?
On twitter, some people say that some models perform better at night when there is a less demand which allows them to serve a non-quantized model.
Since the models are only available through API and there is no test to check which version of the model is served, it's hard to know what we're buying...
You can have growing deficits without actually "selling the nation" when you account for growth and inflation.
Say foreigners own 50% of US assets. When someone creates in the US a company ex nihilo and sells 10% of it to foreign investors, even though foreigners bought more US assets, this new wealth creation causes the % of foreign-owned US assets to diminish.
When foreign investors own US bonds, as inflation increases and the money supply increases, they end up owning less in real terms.
This doesn't account for investments that are limited in quantity such as real estate.
Also just because those are opposing forces, doesn't mean that foreign ownership wouldn't increase. As a matter of fact, when looking at the foreign ownership of US stocks, it has been steadily increasing.
Does this support the Selfish Gene theory of Richard Dawkins? They look like the smallest self-replicating molecules that he mentions in the beginning of the book.
It seemed to me that option #1 only applied if you were a fugitive and your whereabouts were unknown, not when you simply leave the state or country.
As to furtherance, I wonder how precise the definition of it is; is using proceeds of a crime, furtherance of a crime? Is obfuscating a crime, furtherance of a crime?
The statute of limitation for wire fraud is 5 years. How did he get charged under that statute when he stole funds from Silk Road in 2012? Did they charge him for converting BCH into BTC in 2017?
I tried to look up the case but couldn't find anything that shed a light on that.
As a third-worlder I welcome these jobs. They lower unemployment, raise average salaries, haggling power, increase the country's foreign currency reserves... Our minimum wage is similar to Kenya's and $1.46/hour after tax is way above the around 80c minimum.
It could make sense from an environmental perspective to produce and consume locally but for a job like this, the only reason to use US nationals would be to create local jobs.
How can you say it's clear it wasn't cash? What's the source?
Also, FTX minted FTT out of nothing - effective cost zero - so no matter what they received in exchange, even if they had received nothing that is not an investment unless they received Alameda equity. I agree that lending is a form of investment but nothing says that they received a loan in exchange.
You could still be right, but it's all speculation :)
SBF said "We don't invest client assets (even in treasuries)". [0]
He then says the purpose of the transaction with Binance is to "clear out the liquidity crunches". [1]
How could there be a liquidity crunch if assets are not invested? You can't do a bank run on an entity that doesn't function as a bank and doesn't invest clients assets... Something is shifty.
I get a couple of gallons of olive oil in a small village directly from the press in November each year. It's not filtered so it has a lot of particles in suspension and it goes bad faster, maybe after a year or so. But it tastes nothing like supermarket extra-virgin olive oil, the taste is so much more concentrated.
Olive oil has a pretty short shelf life. The best way to get the good stuff is to make sure you buy:
- the latest harvest (they're usually harvested in early fall)
- non-filtered
- stored in a dark bottle, somewhere cool (light oxidizes it)
- single origin (if it's not, then they're likely mixing old rancid and new oils)
The fact that they closed his account frankly sounds like the outcome of an AML review.
Banks are deputized by the government to check for all sorts of suspicious transaction. They get fined when their procedures are not sufficiently stringent. They're not allowed to tip you as to why your account is being suspended or closed.
At any moment, any bank can lock your account for months without informing you of anything. It's unfortunately the power we decided to give them to prevent money laundering.
