It's not just the probability of an occurence that leads us to behave in an unreasonable manner. The other important thing is the impact of that 'rare occurence'. Most critics don't seem to take that in to account at all...
Some people suck at doing even the easiest of things when they are told what to do. They tend to do much better when they can choose what to do to solve a problem or create a solution.
If you are in a corp environment doing things the way you'd like or want means you have to be a senior level IC or some sort of a team leader. But getting to that in the best of corporate cultures would mean you have you 'do' what you are told for 3-5 years - the same thing that you hate and would like to stop doing.
You would have 2 primary options#.
Go through the motions for abt 3 years and then hope you can get in to a meaningful position and do things the way you'd like...
Or, join a startup that works on something that thrills you and instantly start doing things the way you'd envision it. (You have the added incentive of having a shot at becoming really rich through a buyout or an IPO)
# - Other factors like family, current financial condition, the "real" scenario at your current place of work etc, are likely to add weights to the 2 options