Ah, yes, Hanlon's razor. It works as a general rule, but I think that there are enough powerful, vested interests (proven by eg. Russia, China and US Fed actions/statements regarding Bitcoin) and enough precedence (CIA disinfo campaigns, NSA TAO and it's 'dirty tactics', Chinese and Russian gang ops and propaganda/DoS attacks, corporate APTs) to make conspiracy a real possibility. I think that one of the key things here is that many of us discussed the possibility of exactly this situation, whether conducted by advanced actors or petty criminals the last time that Silk Road was burned to the ground (and, in that case, it was pretty clear who was behind it).