ffitch

vor 18 Tagendiscuss

The article is not about this stuff being useful for making money off of prediction markets.

vor 19 Tagendiscuss

from the article:

  I asked the guy who turned $35 into $2 million in seven months on Kalshi whether, in another seven months, he would be able to 100,000x his money a second time to $200 billion. Unsurprisingly, he said no - there’s only so much easy money on Kalshi, and his AI had already taken it all (also, other people with similar AIs are starting to fight him for it!)

ffitch

vor 25 Tagendiscuss

No extra hardware, stock macbooks and an imac. No fancy apps either, RayCast is probably the only one that overrides default system behavior. It used to be better, a few years ago macOS would run stable for months, but even then I had to resort to ‘killall Dock’ for occasional glitches.

ffitch

vor 25 Tagendiscuss

hope not : ) I observed these across three computers on different versions of macOS.

ffitch

vor 25 Tagendiscuss

A couple of years ago I noticed that my mac starts collecting weird little bugs if I don’t reboot for a really long time. The cursor starts misbehaving (it won’t reliably change over links, or in graphic editors), switching between apps might take a few seconds, and once I had my keyboard input latency increased by ~500-700ms for every keystroke. These issues go away on reboot. I’m trying rebooting once a week or so now.

ffitch

vor 2 Monatendiscuss

fun fact, CH is an ISO code of Switzerland, and China is CN

ffitch

vor 6 Monatendiscuss

> our team was blown away > by how much Codex was able > to accelerate its own development

they forgot to add “Can’t wait to see what you do with it”

ffitch

vor 6 Monatendiscuss

I didn’t mean collaboration features. I clumsily used 10,000-users as a measure of the app completeness.

ffitch

vor 6 Monatendiscuss

Building (or vibecoding) a markdown editor for a single user and their specific use case, for a 100 users, and for 10,000 users takes different amount of time and effort. In the pre-LLM days people with resolve to make 1-user version were likely to polish it for 100-users and somewhat likely to get it to a stable place when it can satisfy thousands of users.

Today on /r/macapps/ there’s a wave of apps that look good at the first glance but get abandoned before they achieve even a 100-users maturity level.

ffitch

vor 8 Monatendiscuss

in this quote ↑6 describes the wealth level and ↑7 the number of people at that level. the author gives every number in log form.

ffitch

vor 10 Monatendiscuss

seeing how much power shifted from legislative branch to executive, and how often executive branch changes its mind, I wouldn’t count on the unwavering government support

ffitch

vor 11 Monatendiscuss

great benchmark!

ffitch

vor 11 Monatendiscuss

does anyone know how would e-ink compare to oldschool reflective TN LCD displays (those in Casios from the nineties)? I have a Playdate device with this type of screen and it seems pretty cool, I wonder why so few devices today are taking advantage of it.

ffitch

vor 11 Monatendiscuss

Hey, I’m the author of Shottr. It’s super gratifying to know that there are people who see the app that way : ) thank you for saying this!

ffitch

vor 11 Monatendiscuss

Great analysis! a couple of comments:

1. the airfare inflation chart is based on the Bureau of Labor Statistics CPI which is calculated differently from the other metrics in the article; it does take into account routes popularity.

2. today’s average Economy ticket is different from the 1990s ticket: meals, seat pitch, seat selection, baggage. service changed to the point that 1990 Standard Economy is more similar to 2025 Premium Economy.

ffitch

vor 12 Monatendiscuss

I wonder how modern models fair on NovelQA and FLenQA (benchmarks that test ability to understand long context beyond needle in a haystack retrieval). The only such test on a reasoning model that I found was done on o3-mini-high (https://arxiv.org/abs/2504.21318), it suggests that reasoning noticeably improves FLenQA performance, but this test only explored context up to 3,000 tokens.

ffitch

letztes Jahrdiscuss

I’m curious what the policy with the highest long-term benefit would be. The country needs external talent, but would skewing H-1B towards high skill be good? The economy seems to need unskilled labor for the jobs Americans are not interested in. Should the government try to curb hi-tech outsourcing instead, to create more jobs in the States, both for the citizens and the skilled immigrant workers? But that would be protectionism, and protectionism rarely play out well economically.

ffitch

letztes Jahrdiscuss

From where I stand, AI seems to enjoy lightning fast adoption. Personal computers became a viable technology in the eighties, slowly penetrated workplace in the nineties, and supposedly registered in labor productivity in the early 2000s. The large language models became practical less then three years ago, and already plenty of businesses boast how they will integrate AI and cut their workforce, while everyone else feel behind and obsolete.

ffitch

letztes Jahrdiscuss

> So, any smart simulation would only be simulating a small very percentage of itself at any given time

does a falling tree make a sound if the simulation is not running? : )

ffitch

letztes Jahrdiscuss

The things like window buttons, remote keyfobs or radio units will have higher margin when sold individually, allowing to lower the base model price.

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