No it is just brands being cheap.
Those colognes are still available. Just not in Sephora.
On high end there are Roja Dove, Killian's, Tom Ford, Montale,Mancera...
At low end anything by Bogart.
Stability ????
Ubuntu is far more stable. Have never had issues wrt stability.
I have had issues with support as in some software do not work on linux (Turbo Tax , Games etc) but never in stability.
Have been using linux desktops since 2010
Have been on Cynogen/Lineage since 2012. Love the idea and the philosophy. Recently have been coming across safetynet issue.
Will 19 address that?
Also wondering what is the future of AOSP development, now that big companies are poaching developers (and effectively killing good projects like Magisk)
True. Correlations are not modeled in here. And the fact is once shit hits the fan all correlation converge to 1.
This is not a tool for helping you with that.
All it does is tells you - don't put more than x% in this stock.
It answers a very specific question --- I like XYZ, how much should I buy?
Ha yes. We had same reaction. But it is what the market is pricing probabilities at. And if you see the returns market has been right so far.
We are also skeptical. But numbers don't lie. I think it is a good way to size how much to buy if you really want to buy GME. Don't put all your money in but limit it to 10% as Kelly suggests
Options Implied probabilities gives a way to understand what market is pricing volatility at. Given the option price, it is not hard to get the probability distribution.
There is not judgement here. Just plain Math.
Here is some explanation - https://engine.oracled.com/FatKelly
The probabilities are calculated using options market.
Options (and risk neutral distribution) gives you the market implied probability of stock going up/down and by how much.
This is so timely. I made this with a buddy of mine to help us figure out optimal allocation for stocks in a portfolio using Kelly.
https://engine.oracled.com/
Remember using it a lot in mid 2000s. On iPod Mini and the HP Player. Also Sansa.
IIRC , on iPod it let you play more codecs and then there were a few games thrown in.
Loved it and that is what switched on my "change the native firmware" mode. Before this I did not know it could be done. I also realized how OEM hobble the hardware with restrictive firmware.
Now I try not to buy Hardware (phones, routers etc) that can't be flashed with custom firmware.