Modellers claim wars are predictable(nature.com)
nature.com
Modellers claim wars are predictable
http://www.nature.com/news/2009/091216/full/462836a.html
2 comments
The model was built to fit the data, which isn't difficult. The hard part is getting it to predict anything, which this model has not.
They are only showing that the size of attack is predictable, not the timing...