Scobleizer: Mike Arrington and I Disagree on the Future(scobleizer.com)
scobleizer.com
Scobleizer: Mike Arrington and I Disagree on the Future
http://scobleizer.com/2009/04/10/mike-arrington-and-i-disagree-on-the-future/
8 comments
Wow, the web's two most obnoxious swollen egos disagree on something. Stop the presses.
While I agree with the core of your comment - a disagreement isn't really news - your comment is two adhoms and a contentless snark, so I downvoted it.
1. Who shared or commented on an item. The search above I knew I had liked the picture, so I constrained the search to only things I’ve liked.
But I didn't know Robert Scoble liked the picture, so it wouldn't help me find it.
2. How many comments or likes are on an item. Good if you happen to remember it, but also something Twitter could add - search filtering on how many @replies/retweets something got.
3. What was said in the item. You can't comment on a tweet, but you can @reply/retweet or just tweet again moments later with your comment. It's not the same as friendfeed but it's not dramatically far away. I'm not convinced it's such a big difference that twitter can't overcome it with search improvements.
1. Who shared or commented on an item. The search above I knew I had liked the picture, so I constrained the search to only things I’ve liked.
But I didn't know Robert Scoble liked the picture, so it wouldn't help me find it.
2. How many comments or likes are on an item. Good if you happen to remember it, but also something Twitter could add - search filtering on how many @replies/retweets something got.
3. What was said in the item. You can't comment on a tweet, but you can @reply/retweet or just tweet again moments later with your comment. It's not the same as friendfeed but it's not dramatically far away. I'm not convinced it's such a big difference that twitter can't overcome it with search improvements.
Almost immediately Clifford Stoll's TED preso jumped into my mind. "If you want to know about the future, don't ask me... I'm old...ask a kindergarten teacher." (paraphrased)
Mike Arrington: The future is CrunchPad.
Scobleizer: No, the future is Building43!
Guy Kawasaki: You both are now on Truemors, which is the future.
Me: 42!
Scobleizer: No, the future is Building43!
Guy Kawasaki: You both are now on Truemors, which is the future.
Me: 42!
So we are supposed to take Scoble seriously because he has a lot of Twitter followers? His track record with companies indicates he doesn't really predict the future too well.
At Microsoft he made a name for himself by blogging when no one else was doing it. That was a good move and is what propelled him into the public eye.
Since then, he hasn't really accomplished much. He went to work for an unsuccessful podcast company, was booted from Fast Company, and now wants to tell us what the future of the web is?
I think taking what "experts" predict seriously is almost always a mistake. Look at the stock market - experts were running the companies that are collapsing and experts told people to invest in Bernie Madoff's fund. Oops.
At Microsoft he made a name for himself by blogging when no one else was doing it. That was a good move and is what propelled him into the public eye.
Since then, he hasn't really accomplished much. He went to work for an unsuccessful podcast company, was booted from Fast Company, and now wants to tell us what the future of the web is?
I think taking what "experts" predict seriously is almost always a mistake. Look at the stock market - experts were running the companies that are collapsing and experts told people to invest in Bernie Madoff's fund. Oops.
It would be better if you replied to his argument.
Trust the entrepreneur who reluctantly tells you what he thinks is coming down the pipeline over the pundit who gets paid to do so.
a bit of a silly argument imho. it's like saying back in the mid 90's that 'searching the web' would win over the web itself.