Predicting the next 5000 days of the web(youtube.com)
youtube.com
Predicting the next 5000 days of the web
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yDYCf4ONh5M&feature=user
4 comments
I predict that people like Kevin Kelly will continue to make predictions that are backward-looking. He indicts himself: Wired's predictions were all about "TV, but more so". And now his prediction is, "The web, but more so." And then he projects forward into this fantasy-fulfillment scenario of harmony and unity among all devices, as if these machines aren't going to be owned and operated by squabbling humans, and as if data can be meaningful to all devices in all ways.
I really don't think its possible to predict ANYTHING that far ahead. Look at how far we went in the first 5000 days.
On this topic, it doesn't sit well with me that he mentions the explosion of change in the first 5,000 days as justification for whatever predictions he wants to make about the next. Using that logic, I could say all kinds of things about the universe are likely now because so much crazy stuff happened during the big bang.
Mind blowing. The end sounded creepily religious.