How to Think Like an Epidemiologist(nytimes.com)
nytimes.com
How to Think Like an Epidemiologist
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/08/04/science/coronavirus-bayes-statistics-math.html
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“One extreme is to decide what you think and be impervious to new information. Another extreme is to over-privilege the last thing you learned.”
Infectious-disease epidemiologist Marc Lipsitch argues that we could all do with a little more Bayesian reasoning, especially when it comes to the many unknowns of COVID-19.
Infectious-disease epidemiologist Marc Lipsitch argues that we could all do with a little more Bayesian reasoning, especially when it comes to the many unknowns of COVID-19.
The only thing epidemiology has proven is that "epidemiology" is not a science. It shares it's utter lack of predictive power with the non-science fields of economics and sociology.