I'm not sure why there wouldn't be conversion vehicles that could pull second duty on rails. For rail-less areas, it's a car on roads. When long haul/high density travel is required, merge onto rail to reduce friction and road costs.
Also, we will all have subscriptions to car services that drive a car scaled to fit your current trip need to your door. Some enthusiasts will still own a manual drive car.
The costs of building and maintaining roads will then be shifted to auto service conglomerates - which might end up being manufacturers as well. This will, in turn, optimize around profit margins for the services. Instead of construction firms blowing politicians, they'll be blowing the car service companies. Feasibly, you could see private spans of road.
Cars can stop looking like jet cabins and will look more like mass transit or RV's. Think more like European trains. I'd be interested to see if you don't end up with multi-compartment buses that operate a bit like an elevator. Reduced cost subscriptions could involve multiple pickups along a route. Again - optimizing the bottom line of transport services.
Auto brands shift market focus from consumers to fleet operators. Expect final conglomeration into verfy few brands, each with very utilitarian lines of vehicles. Interiors become focused on amenities, but also minimization of cost of ownership - more hotel than home.
People will own an array of accessories to provide comfort lost from the lack of ownership. People will be guided to see those not making use as anti-social or self-centered.
What will happen to shipping? Could we not bring/send autonomous service vehicles to warehouses to pick up and deliver large goods? Does this change the consumer experience from warehouse retailers and monster SUVs to smaller strips of showcase stores and/or mobile retailers that can use excess capacity of delivery vehicles to increase the value of their shopping experience? Say, ship multiple options, accessories, etc. which can be used to up-sell consumers at their home...
And what about cruising? People riding around in autonomous vehicles hooking up? Need a lift?
What about transport of illicit materials? Load a service car up with some goods and send it on its way. Who gets the blame? Subscription holder? Service?
That'll cover it. The IRS will stand down now. Thanks!
abnb know they are on pretty thin ice and I am starting to think the bubbling of this trope on HN is a marketing scheme by some people who bought a bunch of apartments and want to unload them on the "new 49ers."
6 FIGURES! Then down at the bottom... "It's a business. It's a hustle. You gotta stay on top of it." Sounds eerily like the MLM pitch. You make your hours! Run your own business! Get rich! Someone starts pitching that there will be landlord collectives and network payments... just get some friends in who you want to share the good fortune with!
Or in layman's terms, you are about to give up a dream job to become an inn-keeper who can't afford, due to your lack of economies of scale, to hire the maids, concierge's etc. abnb offers a mostly non-frills stay at a place where only the bottom line matters.
Most hotels offer a value proposition outside of a narrow range of clientele. abnb fixes a problem for rich kids. $150/night? Hostels and shit.
This is barely a temporary disruption. How many times do you want to wash someone else's sheets and towels before you figure out that $1000/mo ain't that much money given how much time you spend. If you start making 6 figures by playing monopoly IRL, the IRS will step in, local regulation will step in, and that arbitrage evaporates. Now, you're trying to dump an apartment into a glutted market.
It requires extremely few reviews in the app store to get an average. This app had not yielded an average yet. Glad the writer is not breaking even with this yet.
It's just that Micro$oft and people from the evil empire keep making all these good tools and technology. Then, they try to force me to use it by making it available to people. And then they con those people into getting projects done and telling other people that the tools and technology made it easier to do better work. Then they make a bunch of this stuff open source and do all the things that make it so that when I say, "I hate them and their tiles!" it makes me look like a fool... Because they are behaving, many times, exactly the way one would hope a company would given the constantly evolving nature of technology and the marketplace. I mean Ballmer looks like people I don't like.
I bet they didn't use a decent license. I mean why is TypeScript on CODEPLEX??? Oh... Apache License.
Well, I bet you have to install SilverLight and Windoze 8 (worst dis-operating system ever) to download... right, OK, but it's from jerks just trying to sell stuff! I hate what they did to NETSCAPE!!! and they keep on stopping Linux desktop... what? oh right... yeah... I'M NOT CRAZY!!!
Well, I'm using node and... oh they npm?
I have a gnome tattoo. Fuck you. I'm not crazy.
-sjvn
How do YOU differentiate? I SEO like a muthafugga.
First I copy the trend and slap it on the free platform, then I get all blustery and religious in my tribe. Then I game the goog and watch the benjamins rain dOwN.
If you need to build a business around publicly available search engine results... link deep and deliver content, not jumping-off points.
If you rely on search engine referrals and can't "replay" to some nestled in state in your SPA, then DO NOT DO A Single URL Application (SUA).
Hey, everyone! Let's get back to load screens and useless navigation!!! View this site in HTML or wait a minute while we load your Flash.
As an owner of a MBP two Dell Laptops and a custom Win8 PC, I feel bad for ya son, I got 99 problems, but DSL ain't one.
I hard boot Win8 in <30 seconds and have never felt any heat during updates.
That MBP on the other hand? Since it doesn't get constant love, I hate having to pull it out b/c it's gonna whine and it's not got the SSD, so it's gonna pant... therefore, Apple sucks all balls. Anecdotally, we're tied now. FFS people - nobody gives a shit when you're a re-newb how horrible you are at your re-acquired platform.
This feels like an odd angle to take in concern around the next decade of programming.
It starts a level below what problems might be the next thing to tackle and focuses on what shiny objects have already got enough traction to be considered concern of the past 3-5 years.
Short-sighted. Boring. Couldn't dance to it.
1-3 years are feasibly predictable
3-7 are 50/50 hunches 20%CI
8-9 you might as well be talking jet packs
10+ You aren't talking about saving or controlling the world? Refactor!
10 years from now, we blow IP up. we napster algorithmic experiences because you can't patent wiping your ass
10 years from now, we make devices cheaper than water from scrap plastic
10 years from now, any human can talk to any other human anytime, anywhere
10 years from now, my meta-data is meaningless and we defund NSA because they are deaf dumb and useless
10 years from now, we eat the rich and feed the poor
Why bother looking 10 years ahead without setting some real goals or at least looking at things that might actually drive the innovation in the next 10 years vs what is already well-planned?
We're all going to be 10 years closer to death and you are believing we'll have "smart dust"? A Roomba in every house!
Do you know how long it's been since I first heard that there would be fucking smart dust? You mean we need to lay a powder of infrastructure down to detect what distributed, distant sensors could tell you? Looks like a whale just barfed in the ocean and we got a ton of our dust back online... water's still wet AND salty there! Dial back the Antarctica dust belcher for a minute to balance out the South Pacific by next year... stupid whales, when will you learn?
He should have stopped at sensors. We'll have 1984. Smart dust? We'll be crotch-deep in gray goo.
Whales are like, "IIIIIIII WIIIIIIILLLLLLL DEEEEEEEEEESSSSSSSSTRRRRRRRRRROOOOOOOOYYYYYYYYYYYYYY!!!!"
Yep. Apologists. Don't mind the facts or the details, just look for the favorite scapegoat and blame it on liberal bias.
Did you even read the article?
There are no problems in locating and moving any specific load of metal within a day. A quarter-billion in profit a year and you think they just can't keep track of some metal? This is just another scheme set up by commodity players designed to skim bits of profit off of massive numbers of activities and to play each move in the game for a nice little benefit.
This is the vertical integration of the commodities market. They are playing a game based around skimming profits out of everyday business activities where there is any surface area that investors and speculators might be playing. In "lubricating" the trading (where they pay kickbacks to maintain their leases), they are just finding a way to make a cut on action they aren't likely directly playing in. Speculators and investors end up sitting on their "chips" so JP is saying, "hey, we'll give you some cash so you are liquid and OK while you wait to get your bigger gains..." Thing is... it's that 1/10th of a cent per can that consumers pay which is fronting the waiting game for the speculator so they can cash in. Once again, we capitalize the schemes that make douche-bags rich.
JP makes money no matter which way aluminum goes, but can net more the higher it goes since their primary partners and customers are traders. The more action in the market, the more need there is to hold chips.
A warehouse makes money by staying full. Their incentive is to hold it as long as they can. They are not commodity suppliers. They are middle-men. They don't need to maintain an inventory in case prices rise and they want to cash in. They need owners to be stuck holding massive amounts that have to sit somewhere or find a bunch of traders who are shuffling paper representing the metal that basically just sits there. The warehouse would profit more without the regulation as they wouldn't have to pay to shuffle it around.
In free market terms, the industrial consumers ARE going directly to sources instead of using the distribution network because the network is playing games and costing them a fortune. The problem is the drag in supply by the warehouse game increases costs overall.
There are people playing games with different commodities and your interests are in protecting the game instead of making efficient markets. Regulations and subsidies are important and effective for managing commodity markets. You are a historically ignorant fool if you think your Libertarian hard-on for anti-regulation and anti-media zeal makes sense here.
Being a sound engineer doesn't mean you have good ears or produce good work, etc. It means someone is paying you to do a job. I post on HN because I'm a founder. I've founded 3 companies. None of which lasted more than 2 years. I use BIC ballpoint pens. Their clear plastic never failed me.
That rap was accurate. Better sound through marketing and douche-baggery IP / anti-competitive behavior.
Bose implementations used cheap parts and cut corners, but charged premium prices by being the original MonsterCable. Bose stifled competition and innovation with pre-existing art IP. He also dicked people around with trademark because he was an asshat.
He was only one step better than a patent-troll in terms of his effects on the industry (because he actually did deliver a product). Fuck him and his Beats by Dre bullshit sucker-identifying crap.
Bose was drowning start-ups in the bathtub, let alone badgering any real competition. It's an affront to HN for his death to be atop the list without him being pilloried as a pariah.
Not sure if you're seeing my statement as advocating non-violent, but confrontational methods... that was the intent. Non-violence without any depth of coverage is a tree falling in the woods with nobody there. You need visibility while being non-violent and catalyzing. You must be present and visible to embody the narrative that enables peoples' opinions to be matched with yours. Who takes the internet hate machine seriously?
If you are similar or the same in fundamental, value/moral terms, others are able to identify with you and see how your plight/demands and their aspirations for themselves are the same.
Online petitions are worthless. You need videos that tell the story - like Mitt Romney and his 47%. You need students getting pepper-sprayed. Overreach and douche-baggery strengthen resolve for the believers and give second-thought to anyone trying to reconcile their better selves with the crappier elements of their own side.
Non-violence means little if you are not causing people to deal with you. Nobody is called to account for an online petition or a peaceful protest covered lightly as a hippie revival.
You have to push the envelope and make it uncomfortable - something requiring answers.
Knowledge and access are two different things. Subsidized or free contraceptives and comprehensive sex education are economic multipliers - even for people not able or trying to have kids. Shame it's always at the top of the list as a way to help punish women who like to have sex.
And the media is the next best thing to an online petition surrounded by ads... ephemeral bullshit to hold attention while we show you commercials.
If they aren't afraid of you burning down their palace, they are not about to change.
Why do people in the US think that change comes from meaningless, one-click bullshit? In Egypt, the military says GTFO. In Syria, they can take up arms and say GTFO and have it not work. You didn't see arabs using twitter for the "retweet this if you want change." It was the get over to street a and b and mob.
Peaceful sit-ins on unused public land, out of the way of the entrenched interests is something to lampoon... nothing to be afraid of. You can't put a poster of Ghandi up on the wall and be taken seriously.
Peaceful resistance is standing in the way of the tank and letting the entrenched powers present themselves to the horror of the world. They will either turn popular sentiment strongly enough that they are taken away, changed, of they will stand down from stupidity.
It's like not forcing legislators to actually filibuster on their feet. Tweet-it-in resistance is worthless.
Stand up, step in, and cross the line if you mean it. Otherwise STFU and GTFO.
Also, we will all have subscriptions to car services that drive a car scaled to fit your current trip need to your door. Some enthusiasts will still own a manual drive car.
The costs of building and maintaining roads will then be shifted to auto service conglomerates - which might end up being manufacturers as well. This will, in turn, optimize around profit margins for the services. Instead of construction firms blowing politicians, they'll be blowing the car service companies. Feasibly, you could see private spans of road.
Cars can stop looking like jet cabins and will look more like mass transit or RV's. Think more like European trains. I'd be interested to see if you don't end up with multi-compartment buses that operate a bit like an elevator. Reduced cost subscriptions could involve multiple pickups along a route. Again - optimizing the bottom line of transport services.
Auto brands shift market focus from consumers to fleet operators. Expect final conglomeration into verfy few brands, each with very utilitarian lines of vehicles. Interiors become focused on amenities, but also minimization of cost of ownership - more hotel than home.
People will own an array of accessories to provide comfort lost from the lack of ownership. People will be guided to see those not making use as anti-social or self-centered.
What will happen to shipping? Could we not bring/send autonomous service vehicles to warehouses to pick up and deliver large goods? Does this change the consumer experience from warehouse retailers and monster SUVs to smaller strips of showcase stores and/or mobile retailers that can use excess capacity of delivery vehicles to increase the value of their shopping experience? Say, ship multiple options, accessories, etc. which can be used to up-sell consumers at their home...
And what about cruising? People riding around in autonomous vehicles hooking up? Need a lift?
What about transport of illicit materials? Load a service car up with some goods and send it on its way. Who gets the blame? Subscription holder? Service?