john7·قبل 16 سنة·discussNo, Bayesian decision theory does not allow you to reason in that way.Suppose the amounts in the envelopes are A and B. A Bayesian would say:Prob(I have A) = 1/2 and Prob(I have B) = 1/2The expected gain from switching is:Prob(I have A)x(what I'd gain from switching = B-A) + Prob(I have B)x(what I'd gain from switching = A-B)which is: 1/2 x (B-A) + 1/2 x (A-B) = 0
john7·قبل 16 سنة·discussWhy not to read more books:http://ebooks.adelaide.edu.au/s/schopenhauer/arthur/lit/chap...
john7·قبل 17 سنة·discussHaving someone else do my laundry for about a dollar a pound. No more buying detergent, waiting around, having to find change if you don't have your own washer/dryer, loading/unloading, folding, etc.